Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32651279›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2020

Tracking the reach of COVID-19 kin loss with a bereavement multiplier applied to the United States.

Ashton M Verdery, Emily Smith-Greenaway, Rachel Margolis, Jonathan Daw

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 131 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
131citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

131 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Trial
  3. Risk for Complicated Grief After the COVID-19 Death of a Marital Partner in Late Life.The American journal of geriatric psychiatry : official journal of the American Association for Geriatric Psychiatry · 2024
    Trial
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Social connection and cognitive health: A review of concepts, measures, and research priorities.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2026
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Prolonged grief disorder in later life: advancing our understanding of biopsychosocial mechanisms to guide future personalized interventions.Neuropsychopharmacology : official publication of the American College of Neuropsychopharmacology · 2026
    Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. The new sociology of bereavement.Annual review of sociology · 2025
    Article
  18. Measuring premature and cumulative family member bereavement: Racial disparities and later mortality risk.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Kinship Structures for Left Behind Older Adults in High Outmigration Contexts: Evidence From Puerto Rico.The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences · 2025
    Article

71 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Ashton M VerderyDepartment of Sociology and Criminology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802; amv5430@psu.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-1005-7580
Emily Smith-GreenawayDepartment of Sociology, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089.
Rachel MargolisDepartment of Sociology, University of Western Ontario, London, ON N6A 5C2, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-3331-591X
Jonathan DawDepartment of Sociology and Criminology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802.ORCID 0000-0003-3364-4518

Funding

Family Dynamics, Fertility, and Investments in Children Across Generations - Administrative SupplementR01HD069609 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Thomas Fraser Crossley · 2011 to 2026
$14.2M
Population Research InstituteR24HD041025 · NICHD · PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY-UNIV PARK · PI MATTHEWS, STEPHEN A · 2001 to 2016
$9.7M
The Population Research Institute: Development CoreP2CHD041025 · NICHD · PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY, THE · PI Sarah Damaske · 2016 to 2026
$9.0M
Crossnational Comparisons of Kinlessness and Health: Past, Present and FutureR01AG060949 · NIA · PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY, THE · PI VERDERY, ASHTON MICHAEL · 2019 to 2023
$1.6M
NIA NIH HHS R01 AG060949NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD041025NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD069609NICHD NIH HHS R24 HD041025NIH HHS 1R01AG060949
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has led to a large increase in mortality in the United States and around the world, leaving many grieving the sudden loss of family members. We created an indicator-the COVID-19 bereavement multiplier-that estimates the average number of individuals who will experience the death of a close relative (defined as a grandparent, parent, sibling, spouse, or child) for each COVID-19 death. Using demographic microsimulation-based estimates of kinship networks in the United States, the clear age gradient in COVID-19 mortality seen across contexts, and several hypothetical infection prevalence scenarios, we estimate COVID-19 bereavement multipliers for White and Black individuals in the United States. Our analysis shows that for every COVID-19 death, approximately nine surviving Americans will lose a grandparent, parent, sibling, spouse, or child. These estimates imply, for example, that if 190,000 Americans die from COVID-19, as some models project, then ∼1.7 million will experience the death of a close relative. We demonstrate that our estimates of the bereavement multiplier are stable across epidemiological realities, including infection scenarios, total number of deaths, and the distribution of deaths, which means researchers can estimate the bereavement burden over the course of the epidemic in lockstep with rising death tolls. In addition, we provide estimates of bereavement multipliers by age group, types of kin loss, and race to illuminate prospective disparities. The bereavement multiplier is a useful indicator for tracking COVID-19's multiplicative impact as it reverberates across American families and can be tailored to other causes of death.

Indexed as

BereavementModels, StatisticalAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overBetacoronavirusChildChild, PreschoolCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19EthnicityFamilyFemaleHumansInfantbereavementCOVID-19demographymortalitysocial support

Identifiers

PMID32651279
PMCPMC7395491

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.