Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32647289›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2020

Development and validation of a nomogram prognostic model for esophageal cancer patients with oligometastases.

Butuo Li, Ruiqing Wang, Ting Zhang, Xiubin Sun, Chao Jiang, Wanlong Li, Bing Zou, Peng Xie, Xue Meng, Xindong Sun and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in unresectable or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a systematic review, meta-analysis and meta-regression.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Butuo LiNational Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Key Laboratory of Cancer Prevention and Therapy, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital, Tianjin, 300060, China.
Ruiqing WangDepartment of Breast Surgery, Linyi People's Hospital, Linyi, 276000, Shandong Province, China.
Ting ZhangJinan Infectious Disease Hospital Affiliated To Shandong University, Jinan, 250012, Shandong Province, China.
Xiubin SunDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Shandong University, Jinan, 250012, Shandong Province, China.
Chao JiangDepartment of Otorhinolaryngology and Head and Neck Surgery, Provincial Hospital Affiliated To Shandong University, Jinan, 250000, Shandong Province, China.
Wanlong LiDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Science, Jiyan Road 440, Jinan, 250117, Shandong Province, China.
Bing ZouDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Science, Jiyan Road 440, Jinan, 250117, Shandong Province, China.
Peng XieDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Science, Jiyan Road 440, Jinan, 250117, Shandong Province, China.
Xue MengDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Science, Jiyan Road 440, Jinan, 250117, Shandong Province, China.
Xindong SunDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Science, Jiyan Road 440, Jinan, 250117, Shandong Province, China.
Linlin WangDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Science, Jiyan Road 440, Jinan, 250117, Shandong Province, China. wanglinlinatjn@163.com.
Jinming YuDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Science, Jiyan Road 440, Jinan, 250117, Shandong Province, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0011-9493

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Platinum-based chemotherapy is recommended as the standard treatment for metastatic esophageal cancer (EC) patients; however, the outcome is poor. Oligometastasis is less aggressive and has limited growth potential. However, the prognostic factors for EC patients with oligometastases was largely unknown. Thus, we intend to determine the prognostic factors, and develop and validate nomograms for prediction of survival for EC patients with oligometastases. In this study, characteristics of 273 oligometastatic EC patients were analyzed using univariate and multivariate Cox models to determine the independent prognostic factors for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). The result showed that history of alcohol consumption, longer tumor, no local radiotherapy for EC, and no local treatment for metastases were independent factors for PFS. Sex, esophageal fistula, number of metastatic organs, and local radiotherapy for EC were independent prognostic factors for OS. On the basis of Cox models, the respective nomogram for prediction of PFS and OS was established with the corrected concordance index of 0.739 and 0.696 after internal cross-validation. In conclusion, local treatment for metastases and local radiotherapy for EC were demonstrated to be beneficial for oligometastatic EC patients, and the validated nomograms are valuable in prognosis prediction and could guide individualized management for these patients.

Indexed as

Neoplasm MetastasisNomogramsAgedAged, 80 and overAlcohol DrinkingAntineoplastic AgentsDisease ProgressionEsophageal NeoplasmsFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisProgression-Free SurvivalAntineoplastic Agents

Identifiers

PMID32647289
PMCPMC7347928

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.