Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32647056›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2020

BCG vaccine protection from severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).

Luis E Escobar, Alvaro Molina-Cruz, Carolina Barillas-Mury

Erratum issued 2 registry-linked trialsOpen access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 260 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
260citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
34.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04534803 phase3withdrawnnot on this mapstarted 2021, after this paper: background citation

Bacillus Calmette-Guerin Against Covid-19 for Prevention and Amelioration of Severity Trial

TypeinterventionalSponsorHarvard Medical School (HMS and HSDM)Ran2021 to 2022Enrolled0ConditionsCovid19ArmsBCG Vaccine, Placebo
NCT05507671 phase3active not recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2021, after this paper: background citation

The Role of the Bacillus Calmette-Guérin Vaccine (BCG) in the Clinical Evolution of COVID-19 and in the Efficacy of Anti-SARS-CoV-2 (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2) Vaccines

TypeinterventionalSponsorOswaldo Cruz FoundationRan2021 to 2025Enrolled556ConditionsCOVID-19ArmsBCG (Bacillus Calmette-Guérin) vaccine, Placebo
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

260 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 455 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Trial
  6. Efficacy and Safety of BCG Revaccination WithFrontiers in immunology · 2022
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200 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Luis E EscobarDepartment of Fish and Wildlife Conservation, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, VA 24601; escobar1@vt.edu cbarillas@niaid.nih.gov.
Alvaro Molina-CruzLaboratory of Malaria and Vector Research, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892.ORCID 0000-0001-5137-4836
Carolina Barillas-MuryLaboratory of Malaria and Vector Research, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892 escobar1@vt.edu cbarillas@niaid.nih.gov.
National Institutes of Health · USVirginia Tech · US

Funding

Mosquito Immune Responses and Malaria TransmissionZIAAI000947 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI BARILLAS-MURY, CAROLINA · 2009 to 2025
$26.2M
Mosquito Midgut Immune Responses &Malaria TransmissionZ01AI000947 · NIAID · NIAID EXTRAMURAL ACTIVITIES · PI BARILLAS-MURY, CAROLINA · 2004 to 2008
$1.8M
Intramural NIH HHS Z01 AI000947
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A series of epidemiological explorations has suggested a negative association between national bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccination policy and the prevalence and mortality of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, these comparisons are difficult to validate due to broad differences between countries such as socioeconomic status, demographic structure, rural vs. urban settings, time of arrival of the pandemic, number of diagnostic tests and criteria for testing, and national control strategies to limit the spread of COVID-19. We review evidence for a potential biological basis of BCG cross-protection from severe COVID-19, and refine the epidemiological analysis to mitigate effects of potentially confounding factors (e.g., stage of the COVID-19 epidemic, development, rurality, population density, and age structure). A strong correlation between the BCG index, an estimation of the degree of universal BCG vaccination deployment in a country, and COVID-19 mortality in different socially similar European countries was observed (

Indexed as

Adjuvants, ImmunologicAgedBCG VaccineBetacoronavirusCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19HumansPandemicsPneumonia, ViralPrognosisSARS-CoV-2Survival RateVaccinationAdjuvants, ImmunologicBCG VaccineBCG vaccination policyCOVID-19 coronaviruscross-protectionmortalitypandemic

Identifiers

PMID32647056
PMCPMC7395502
OpenAlexW3041881467

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.