Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32645244›Full record

ArticleRisk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis2021

Potential Future Use, Costs, and Value of Poliovirus Vaccines.

Kimberly M Thompson, Dominika A Kalkowska

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.1field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 32 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Coordinated global cessation of oral poliovirus vaccine use: Options and potential consequences.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2024
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. An Updated Economic Analysis of the Global Polio Eradication Initiative.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2021
    Article
  12. A Health Economic Analysis for Oral Poliovirus Vaccine to Prevent COVID-19 in the United States.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2021
    Review
  13. Modeling and Managing Poliovirus Risks: We are Where we are….Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2021
    Article
  14. Health and Economic Outcomes Associated with Polio Vaccine Policy Options: 2019-2029.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2021
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Health Economic Analysis of Antiviral Drugs in the Global Polio Eradication Endgame.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Kimberly M ThompsonKid Risk, Inc., Orlando, FL, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0849-9147
Dominika A KalkowskaKid Risk, Inc., Orlando, FL, USA.
Orlando Health · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Countries face different poliovirus risks, which imply different benefits associated with continued and future use of oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) and/or inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV). With the Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI) continuing to extend its timeline for ending the transmission of all wild polioviruses and to introduce new poliovirus vaccines, the polio vaccine supply chain continues to expand in complexity. The increased complexity leads to significant uncertainty about supply and costs. Notably, the strategy of phased OPV cessation of all three serotypes to stop all future incidence of poliomyelitis depends on successfully stopping the transmission of all wild polioviruses. Countries also face challenges associated with responding to any outbreaks that occur after OPV cessation, because stopping transmission of such outbreaks requires reintroducing the use of the stopped OPV in most countries. National immunization program leaders will likely consider differences in their risks and willingness-to-pay for risk reduction as they evaluate their investments in current and future polio vaccination. Information about the costs and benefits of future poliovirus vaccines, and discussion of the complex situation that currently exists, should prove useful to national, regional, and global decisionmakers and support health economic modeling. Delays in achieving polio eradication combined with increasing costs of poliovirus vaccines continue to increase financial risks for the GPEI.

Indexed as

Costs and Cost AnalysisDisease EradicationDisease OutbreaksGlobal HealthHealth Care CostsHumansImmunization ProgramsModels, EconomicPoliomyelitisPoliovirusPoliovirus Vaccine, InactivatedPoliovirus Vaccine, OralRiskRisk ManagementSerogroupVaccinationPoliovirus Vaccine, InactivatedPoliovirus Vaccine, Oralfinancial riskpolio eradicationvaccine

Identifiers

PMID32645244
PMCPMC7984393
OpenAlexW3041157633

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.