Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32645023›Full record

ArticlePloS one2020

Global socio-economic losses and environmental gains from the Coronavirus pandemic.

Manfred Lenzen, Mengyu Li, Arunima Malik, Francesco Pomponi, Ya-Yen Sun, Thomas Wiedmann, Futu Faturay, Jacob Fry, Blanca Gallego, Arne Geschke and 8 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 96 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
96citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
30.4field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

96 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 365 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Bioactive Sulfated Polysaccharides from Green AlgaeInternational journal of molecular sciences · 2026
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36 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors at 8 institutions in 7 countries.

Manfred LenzenIntegrated Sustainability Analysis, School of Physics, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Mengyu LiIntegrated Sustainability Analysis, School of Physics, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Arunima MalikIntegrated Sustainability Analysis, School of Physics, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-4630-9869
Francesco PomponiResource Efficient Built Environment Lab, Edinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Ya-Yen SunBusiness School, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.
Thomas WiedmannSchool of Civil and Environmental Engineering, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Futu FaturayFiscal Policy Agency, Ministry of Finance of The Republic of Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia.
Jacob FryIntegrated Sustainability Analysis, School of Physics, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Blanca GallegoCentre for Big Data Research in Health, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-3704-7975
Arne GeschkeIntegrated Sustainability Analysis, School of Physics, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Jorge Gómez-ParedesSchool of Earth Sciences, Energy and Environment, Yachay Tech University, Urcuquí, Ecuador.
Keiichiro KanemotoResearch Institute for Humanity and Nature, Kyoto, Japan.
Steven KenwayAdvanced Water Management Centre, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.
Keisuke NansaiIntegrated Sustainability Analysis, School of Physics, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Mikhail ProkopenkoCentre for Complex Systems, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Takako WakiyamaIntegrated Sustainability Analysis, School of Physics, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Yafei WangSchool of Statistics, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, P.R. China.
Moslem YousefzadehIntegrated Sustainability Analysis, School of Physics, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
The University of Sydney · AUThe University of Queensland · AUUNSW Sydney · AUBeijing Normal University · CNDuke University · USEdinburgh Napier University · GBMinistry of Finance · IDResearch Institute for Humanity and Nature · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

On 3 April 2020, the Director-General of the WHO stated: "[COVID-19] is much more than a health crisis. We are all aware of the profound social and economic consequences of the pandemic (WHO, 2020)". Such consequences are the result of counter-measures such as lockdowns, and world-wide reductions in production and consumption, amplified by cascading impacts through international supply chains. Using a global multi-regional macro-economic model, we capture direct and indirect spill-over effects in terms of social and economic losses, as well as environmental effects of the pandemic. Based on information as of May 2020, we show that global consumption losses amount to 3.8$tr, triggering significant job (147 million full-time equivalent) and income (2.1$tr) losses. Global atmospheric emissions are reduced by 2.5Gt of greenhouse gases, 0.6Mt of PM2.5, and 5.1Mt of SO2 and NOx. While Asia, Europe and the USA have been the most directly impacted regions, and transport and tourism the immediately hit sectors, the indirect effects transmitted along international supply chains are being felt across the entire world economy. These ripple effects highlight the intrinsic link between socio-economic and environmental dimensions, and emphasise the challenge of addressing unsustainable global patterns. How humanity reacts to this crisis will define the post-pandemic world.

Indexed as

CommerceConservation of Natural ResourcesCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19Greenhouse GasesHumansPandemicsPneumonia, ViralSocioeconomic FactorsGreenhouse Gases

Identifiers

PMID32645023
PMCPMC7347123
OpenAlexW3041632850

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.