Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32641039›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2020

The cost-effectiveness of controlling dengue in Indonesia using wMel Wolbachia released at scale: a modelling study.

Oliver J Brady, Dinar D Kharisma, Nandyan N Wilastonegoro, Kathleen M O'Reilly, Emilie Hendrickx, Leonardo S Bastos, Laith Yakob, Donald S Shepard

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
31citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

31 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Long-Term Durability and Public Health Impact of City-WideTropical medicine and infectious disease · 2025
    Article
  8. New microbes and new infections · 2025
    Review
  9. Article
  10. ExploitingPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Cost-effectiveness of aLancet regional health. Americas · 2024
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Introduction ofiScience · 2024
    Article
  19. Review
  20. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Oliver J BradyCentre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK. oliver.brady@lshtm.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-3235-2129
Dinar D KharismaHeller School for Social Policy and Management, Brandeis University,, Waltham, MA, USA.
Nandyan N WilastonegoroFaculty of Medicine, Public Health and Nursing, Gadjah Mada University, Yogyakarta, Indonesia.
Kathleen M O'ReillyCentre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Emilie HendrickxCentre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Leonardo S BastosCentre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Laith YakobCentre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Donald S ShepardHeller School for Social Policy and Management, Brandeis University,, Waltham, MA, USA.

Funding

Wellcome Trust 206471/Z/17/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRelease of virus-blocking Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes is an emerging disease control strategy that aims to control dengue and other arboviral infections. Early entomological data and modelling analyses have suggested promising outcomes, and wMel Wolbachia releases are now ongoing or planned in 12 countries. To help inform government, donor, or philanthropist decisions on scale-up beyond single city releases, we assessed this technology's cost-effectiveness under alternative programmatic options.

methodsUsing costing data from existing Wolbachia releases, previous dynamic model-based estimates of Wolbachia effectiveness, and a spatially explicit model of release and surveillance requirements, we predicted the costs and effectiveness of the ongoing programme in Yogyakarta City and three new hypothetical programmes in Yogyakarta Special Autonomous Region, Jakarta, and Bali.

resultsWe predicted Wolbachia to be a highly cost-effective intervention when deployed in high-density urban areas with gross cost-effectiveness below $1500 per DALY averted. When offsets from the health system and societal perspective were included, such programmes even became cost saving over 10-year time horizons with favourable benefit-cost ratios of 1.35 to 3.40. Sequencing Wolbachia releases over 10 years could reduce programme costs by approximately 38% compared to simultaneous releases everywhere, but also delays the benefits. Even if unexpected challenges occurred during deployment, such as emergence of resistance in the medium-term or low effective coverage, Wolbachia would remain a cost-saving intervention.

conclusionsWolbachia releases in high-density urban areas are expected to be highly cost-effective and could potentially be the first cost-saving intervention for dengue. Sites with strong public health infrastructure, fiscal capacity, and community support should be prioritised.

Indexed as

AnimalsCost-Benefit AnalysisDengueHumansIndonesiaWolbachiaCost-effectiveness analysisDengueIndonesiaMapsModelMosquitoPolicySpatialWolbachia

Identifiers

PMID32641039
PMCPMC7346418

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.