Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32637066›Full record

ArticleInterface focus2020

Survival and selection biases in early animal evolution and a source of systematic overestimation in molecular clocks.

Graham E Budd, Richard P Mann

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Interface focus, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  4. Two exceptionally preserved biotas from North Dakota reveal cryptic Ordovician shelf ecologies.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
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  9. Review
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  13. The developmental biology ofScience advances · 2021
    Article
  14. Article
  15. The chemical brain hypothesis for the origin of nervous systems.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2021
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Graham E BuddDepartment of Earth Sciences, Palaeobiology, Uppsala University, Villavägen 16, Uppsala 752 36, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-9007-4369
Richard P MannDepartment of Statistics, School of Mathematics, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-0701-1274

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/S032525/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Important evolutionary events such as the Cambrian Explosion have inspired many attempts at explanation: why do they happen when they do? What shapes them, and why do they eventually come to an end? However, much less attention has been paid to the idea of a 'null hypothesis'-that certain features of such diversifications arise simply through their statistical structure. Such statistical features also appear to influence our perception of the timing of these events. Here, we show in particular that study of unusually large clades leads to systematic overestimates of clade ages from some types of molecular clocks, and that the size of this effect may be enough to account for the puzzling mismatches seen between these molecular clocks and the fossil record. Our analysis of the fossil record of the late Ediacaran to Cambrian suggests that it is likely to be recording a true evolutionary radiation of the bilaterians at this time, and that explanations involving various sorts of cryptic origins for the bilaterians do not seem to be necessary.

Indexed as

Cambrian explosioncrown groupsdiversification ratesmolecular clocksthe push of the past

Identifiers

PMID32637066
PMCPMC7333906

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.