Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32634588›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases2020

Estimation of the probable outbreak size of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) in social gathering events and industrial activities.

Motasem N Saidan, Mohammad A Shbool, Omar Suleiman Arabeyyat, Sameh T Al-Shihabi, Yousef Al Abdallat, Mahmoud A Barghash, Hakam Saidan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed.

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  11. Simple mathematical modelling approaches to assessing the transmission risk of SARS-CoV-2 at gatherings.Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada · 2021
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Motasem N SaidanChemical Engineering Department, School of Engineering, The University of Jordan, 11942 Amman, Jordan. Electronic address: m.saidan@gmail.com.
Mohammad A ShboolIndustrial Engineering Department, School of Engineering, The University of Jordan, 11942 Amman, Jordan. Electronic address: m.shbool@ju.edu.jo.
Omar Suleiman ArabeyyatComputer Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Al-Balqa Applied University, 19117 Al-Salt, Jordan. Electronic address: arabiat@bau.edu.jo.
Sameh T Al-ShihabiIndustrial Engineering Department, School of Engineering, The University of Jordan, 11942 Amman, Jordan. Electronic address: s.shihabi@ju.edu.jo.
Yousef Al AbdallatIndustrial Engineering Department, School of Engineering, The University of Jordan, 11942 Amman, Jordan. Electronic address: abdallat@ju.edu.jo.
Mahmoud A BarghashIndustrial Engineering Department, School of Engineering, The University of Jordan, 11942 Amman, Jordan. Electronic address: mbargha@ju.edu.jo.
Hakam SaidanJordan Food and Drug Administration, 11181 Amman, Jordan. Electronic address: hakam.rph@gmail.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe reproduction number (R

objectivesIn this study, we estimated the probable outbreak size of COVID-19 clusters mathematically using a simple model that can predict the number of COVID-19 cases as a function of time.

methodsWe proposed a mathematical model to estimate the R

resultsThe highest R

conclusionsThis study provides predictive COVID-19 transmission patterns in different cluster types based on different R

Indexed as

BetacoronavirusCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19HumansModels, TheoreticalPandemicsPhysical DistancingPneumonia, ViralSARS-CoV-2CoronavirusCOVID-19Mathematical modelPandemicReproductive number

Identifiers

PMID32634588
PMCPMC7334968

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.