ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2020
Predicting the Epidemiological Outbreak of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Saudi Arabia.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.
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Who cites it
15 citing papers in PubMed.
- The impact of adolescent physical activity on quality of life: a moderated mediation model.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Estimating actual SARS-CoV-2 infections from secondary data.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Exploration of Sex and Age-Based Associations in Clinical Characteristics, Predictors of Severity, and Duration of Stay among COVID-19 Patients at the University Hospital of Saudi Arabia.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Forecasting COVID19 parameters using time-series: KSA, USA, Spain, and Brazil comparative case study.Heliyon · 2022Article
- Liver and Gastrointestinal Involvement in Patients With COVID-19: A Retrospective Study.Cureus · 2022Article
- Time series analysis and predicting COVID-19 affected patients by ARIMA model using machine learning.Journal of virological methods · 2022Article
- Modeling the effect of lockdown and social distancing on the spread of COVID-19 in Saudi Arabia.PloS one · 2022Article
- Incidence and epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 among health care workers in Saudi Arabia: A retrospective cohort study.Journal of infection and public health · 2021Article
- Predicting of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Epidemic Using Estimation of Parameters in the Logistic Growth Model.Infectious disease reports · 2021Article
- Effect of easing lockdown and restriction measures on COVID-19 epidemic projection: A case study of Saudi Arabia.PloS one · 2021Article
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- COVID-19 Spread in Saudi Arabia: Modeling, Simulation and Analysis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Article
- Data Analytics for Predicting COVID-19 Cases in Top Affected Countries: Observations and Recommendations.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Article
- Generalized Richards model for predicting COVID-19 dynamics in Saudi Arabia based on particle swarm optimization Algorithm.AIMS public health · 2020Article
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The coronavirus diseases 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak continues to spread rapidly across the world and has been declared as pandemic by World Health Organization (WHO). Saudi Arabia was among the countries that was affected by the deadly and contagious virus. Using a real-time data from 2 March 2020 to 15 May 2020 collected from Saudi Ministry of Health, we aimed to give a local prediction of the epidemic in Saudi Arabia. We used two models: the Logistic Growth and the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered for real-time forecasting the confirmed cases of COVID-19 across Saudi Arabia. Our models predicted that the epidemics of COVID-19 will have total cases of 69,000 to 79,000 cases. The simulations also predicted that the outbreak will entering the final-phase by end of June 2020.
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