ArticleEFSA journal. European Food Safety Authority2019
Using scenario analyses to address the future of food.
Article in EFSA journal. European Food Safety Authority, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed.
- Stakeholder-driven transformative adaptation is needed for climate-smart nutrition security in sub-Saharan Africa.Nature food · 2024Article
- Social and economic dimensions of food sustainability - a background paper for the Nordic Nutrition Recommendations.Food & nutrition research · 2024Review
- Article
- UK food and nutrition security during and after the COVID-19 pandemic.Nutrition bulletin · 2021Article
- Using scenario analyses to address the future of food.EFSA journal. European Food Safety Authority · 2019Article
- EFSA's third Scientific Conference 'Science, Food, Society': concluding remarks.EFSA journal. European Food Safety Authority · 2019Article
- Editorial: Special Issue on EFSA's third Scientific Conference 'Science, Food, Society'.EFSA journal. European Food Safety Authority · 2019Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
1 author.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The food system was developed around a set of policy drivers to make food cheaper and more available, these included promoting agricultural productivity and global trade to increase the availability of food. However, as has been recognised by a plethora of recent papers and reports, these factors have also led to a food system that is unsustainable through its impacts on human health (particularly the growing obesity epidemic) and the environment (e.g. as a major driver of climate change). The world is changing at an unprecedented rate, and the food system is becoming increasingly 'just in time', spatially extended, and dependent on more facilitating sectors (water, land, transport, finance, cyber, etc.). This produces a degree of systemic fragility that drivers (like demand) can interact with events (e.g. a climate impact) to create the opportunity for large-scale shifts in the way the world works. Given the unsustainability of the food system, and the uncertainty of how it may evolve, scenario analysis can be a useful tool for imagining plausible futures as an aid to unlocking 'business as unusual' thinking. Summarising a number of recent processes, I describe scenarios of countries' food systems shaped by changing patterns of trade and changing dietary patterns.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.