SynthesisInternational journal of cancer2021
A meta-analysis of anal cancer incidence by risk group: Toward a unified anal cancer risk scale.
Synthesis in International journal of cancer, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 249 papers, 10 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Anal Follow-up of Patients With a Gynecological History of High-grade Lesion and More Induced HPV
Anal Cancer Prevention in High-Risk Categories of Men Who Have Sex With Men - A Danish Prospective Study
Who cites it
249 citing papers in PubMed, 10 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 454 citations in OpenAlex.
- Efficacy and Safety of Anal High-Grade Squamous Intraepithelial Lesion Treatment Modalities: A Systematic Review.ANZ journal of surgery · 2026Pooled it
- Outcomes reported in studies of anal high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions treatments: systematic review.BJS open · 2026Pooled it
- Oropharyngeal cancer risk groups in the United States: a meta-analysis and SEER analysis.BMC cancer · 2025Pooled it
- Interventions for anal canal intraepithelial neoplasia.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2025Pooled it
- German-Austrian guideline on screening for anal dysplasia and anal carcinoma in people living with HIV.Journal der Deutschen Dermatologischen Gesellschaft = Journal of the German Society of Dermatology : JDDG · 2025Guideline
- Imiquimod for Anal High Grade Intraepithelial Neoplasia: A Systematic Review.Current oncology reports · 2025Pooled it
- Barriers and facilitators to anal cancer screening among men who have sex with men: a systematic review with narrative synthesis.BMC cancer · 2025Pooled it
- Inclusion of marginalized populations in HPV vaccine modeling: A systematic review.Preventive medicine · 2024Pooled it
- Assessing the Potential of HPV16 E6 Seroprevalence as a Biomarker for Anal Dysplasia and Cancer Screening-A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.International journal of molecular sciences · 2024Pooled it
- Global Type-Specific Genital Human Papillomavirus Prevalence in Men, by Sexual Orientation: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2023Pooled it
- Cost-Effectiveness of Home-Based Self-Sampling vs Clinician Sampling for Anal Precancer Screening.JAMA network open · 2026Trial
- Design and initial findings of a natural history study of anal HPV and associated lesions among young adult women in Costa Rica.International journal of cancer · 2025Trial
- Engagement and Factors Associated With Annual Anal Human Papillomavirus Screening Among Sexual and Gender Minority Individuals.Sexually transmitted diseases · 2025Trial
- Trial
- The influence of home versus clinic anal human papillomavirus sampling on high-resolution anoscopy uptake in the Prevent Anal Cancer Self-Swab Study.Sexual health · 2024Trial
- Trial
- The impact of body mass index and physical disability on home-based anal self-sampling.Cancer causes & control : CCC · 2024Trial
- Home-based self-sampling vs clinician sampling for anal precancer screening: The Prevent Anal Cancer Self-Swab Study.International journal of cancer · 2023Trial
- Efficacy of the Outsmart HPV Intervention: A Randomized Controlled Trial to Increase HPV Vaccination among Young Gay, Bisexual, and Other Men Who Have Sex with Men.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2023Trial
- Dynamics of anal HPV infection after 9vHPV vaccination in men who have sex with men (MSM) with HIV: A prospective, controlled cohort study.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2026Article
189 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
9 authors at 7 institutions in 6 countries.
Funding
Abstract
Certain population groups are known to have higher than average anal cancer risk, namely persons living with HIV (PLHIV), men who have sex with men (MSM), women diagnosed with human papillomavirus (HPV)-related gynecological precancerous lesions or cancer, solid organ transplant recipients (SOTRs) and patients with autoimmune diseases. Our aim was to provide robust and comparable estimates of anal cancer burden across these groups. Summary incidence rates (IRs), as cases per 100 000 person-years (py), were calculated by fixed-effects meta-analysis. IRs were 85 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 82-89) for HIV-positive MSM (n = 7 studies; 2 229 234 py), 32 (95% CI = 30-35) for non-MSM male PLHIV (n = 5; 1626 448 py) and 22 (95% CI = 19-24) for female PLHIV (n = 6; 1 472 123 py), with strong variation by age (eg, from 16.8 < 30 years to 107.5 ≥ 60 years for HIV-positive MSM). IR was 19 (95% CI = 10-36) in HIV-negative MSM (n = 2; 48 135 py). Anal cancer IRs were much higher after diagnosis of vulvar (IR = 48 [95% CI = 38-61]; n = 4; 145 147 py) than cervical (9 [95% CI = 8-12]; n = 4; 779 098 py) or vaginal (IR = 10 [95% CI = 3-30]; n = 4; 32 671) cancer, with equivalent disparity after respective precancerous lesions. IR was 13 (95% CI = 12-15) in SOTRs (n = 5; 1 946 206 py), reaching 24.5 and 49.6 for males and females >10 years after transplant. Anal cancer IRs were 10 (95% CI = 5-19), 6 (95% CI = 3-11) and 3 (95% CI = 2-4) for systemic lupus erythematosus, ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease, respectively. In conclusion, a unifying anal cancer risk scale, based upon comprehensive meta-analysis, can improve prioritization and standardization in anal cancer prevention/research initiatives, which are in their public health infancy.
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Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.