Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32618711›Full record

ArticleEpidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.)2020

The Impact of Vaccination Efforts on the Spatiotemporal Patterns of the Hepatitis A Outbreak in Michigan, 2016-2018.

Andrew F Brouwer, Jonathan L Zelner, Marisa C Eisenberg, Lynsey Kimmins, Macey Ladisky, Jim Collins, Joseph N S Eisenberg

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Co-Occurrence of Hepatitis A Infection and Chronic Liver Disease.International journal of molecular sciences · 2020
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Andrew F BrouwerFrom the Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.
Jonathan L ZelnerFrom the Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.
Marisa C EisenbergFrom the Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.
Lynsey KimminsMichigan Department of Health and Human Services, Lansing, MI.
Macey LadiskyMichigan Department of Health and Human Services, Lansing, MI.
Jim CollinsMichigan Department of Health and Human Services, Lansing, MI.
Joseph N S EisenbergFrom the Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.

Funding

Modeling the Effects of the Environment on Enteric Pathogen DynamicsU01GM110712 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI EISENBERG, JOSEPH N. S. · 2014 to 2018
$3.0M
NIGMS NIH HHS U01 GM110712
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe United States is currently experiencing the largest hepatitis A virus (HAV) outbreak since the introduction of a vaccine in 1996. More than 31,000 cases have been reported since 2016. Although HAV had largely been considered a foodborne pathogen in recent years, this outbreak has been spread primarily through person-to-person transmission in urban settings and has been associated with homelessness and substance use. Michigan was one of the first states to report an outbreak, with 910 reported cases between August 2016 and December 2018.

methodsWe analyzed surveillance and vaccination data from Michigan using a disease transmission model to investigate how vaccine timing and coverage influenced the spatiotemporal patterns of the outbreak, distinguishing between Southeast Michigan, where the outbreak began, and the rest of the state.

resultsWe estimated that vaccination had little impact in Southeast Michigan (3% cases averted [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1%, 8%]) but had a substantial impact in the rest of the state, preventing a larger outbreak (91% cases averted [95% CI = 85%, 97%]) lasting several more years.

conclusionsOur results emphasize the value of targeting populations where local transmission is not yet sustained rather than populations where transmission is already waning. Simulation modeling can aid in proactive rather than reactive decision-making and may help direct the response to outbreaks emerging in other states. See video abstract: http://links.lww.com/EDE/B704.

Indexed as

Disease OutbreaksHepatitis AHepatitis A VaccinesVaccinationAdultFemaleHumansMaleMichiganSpatio-Temporal AnalysisHepatitis A Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID32618711
PMCPMC7444463

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.