Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32618654›Full record

ArticleThe American journal of gastroenterology2020

Esophageal Histological Precursor Lesions and Subsequent 8.5-Year Cancer Risk in a Population-Based Prospective Study in China.

Wen-Qiang Wei, Chang-Qing Hao, Chen-Tao Guan, Guo-Hui Song, Meng Wang, De-Li Zhao, Bian-Yun Li, Wen-Long Bai, Pei-Yong Hou, Jin-Wu Wang and 9 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The American journal of gastroenterology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 51 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
51citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
13.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

51 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 94 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  17. IntegratingBMC cancer · 2024
    Article
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  20. Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Wen-Qiang WeiNational Central Cancer Registry, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Chang-Qing HaoDepartment of Endoscopy, Cancer Institute/Hospital of Linzhou, Linzhou, China.
Chen-Tao GuanDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Guo-Hui SongDepartment of Epidemiology, Cancer Institute/Hospital of Ci County, Ci County, China.
Meng WangDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
De-Li ZhaoCenter of Cancer Prevention and Treatment, People's Hospital of Feicheng, Feicheng, China.
Bian-Yun LiDepartment of Epidemiology, Cancer Institute/Hospital of Linzhou, Linzhou, China.
Wen-Long BaiDepartment of Endoscopy, Cancer Institute/Hospital of Ci County, Ci County, China.
Pei-Yong HouDepartment of Endoscopy, People's Hospital of Feicheng, Feicheng, China.
Jin-Wu WangDepartment of Pathology, Cancer Institute/Hospital of Linzhou, Linzhou, China.
Guo-Liang JinDepartment of Pathology, Cancer Institute/Hospital of Ci County, Ci County, China.
Fu-Hua LeiDepartment of Pathology, People's Hospital of Feicheng, Feicheng, China.
Xin-Qing LiDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Li-Yan XueDepartment of Pathology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Guo-Qing WangDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Christian C AbnetMetabolic Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, NIH, Bethesda, Maryland, USA.
Philip R TaylorMetabolic Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, NIH, Bethesda, Maryland, USA.
Sanford M DawseyMetabolic Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, NIH, Bethesda, Maryland, USA.
You-Lin QiaoDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College · CNLinzhou Cancer Hospital · CNZoucheng People's Hospital · CNDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and GeneticsNational Cancer Institute · US

Funding

Upper Gastrointestinal Cancer StudiesZIACP000185 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI ABNET, CHRISTIAN · 2009 to 2025
$25.6M
Upper Gastrointestinal Cancer StudiesZ01CP000185 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI DAWSEY, SANFORD M · 2005 to 2008
$1.4M
Intramural NIH HHS Z01 CP000185
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionData on the associations between esophageal histological lesions and risk of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) in general populations are limited. We aimed to investigate these associations in a large Chinese general population to inform future Chinese ESCC screening guidelines.

methodsWe performed endoscopic screening of 21,111 participants aged 40-69 years from 3 high-risk areas of China in 2005-2009, and followed the cohort through 2016. Cumulative incidence and mortality rates of ESCC were calculated by baseline histological diagnosis, and hazard ratios of ESCC, overall and by age and sex, were assessed using the Cox proportional hazards models.

resultsWe identified 143 new ESCC cases (0.68%) and 62 ESCC deaths (0.29%) during a median follow-up of 8.5 years. Increasing grades of squamous dysplasia were associated with the increasing risk of ESCC incidence and mortality. The cumulative ESCC incidence rates for severe dysplasia/carcinoma in situ, moderate dysplasia (MD), and mild dysplasia were 15.5%, 4.5%, and 1.4%, respectively. Older individuals (50-69 years) had 3.1 times higher ESCC incidence than younger individuals (40-49 years), and men had 2.4 times higher ESCC incidence than women. DISCUSSION: This study confirmed that increasing grades of squamous dysplasia are associated with increasing risk of ESCC and that severe dysplasia and carcinoma in situ require clinical treatment. This study suggests that in high-risk areas of China, patients with endoscopically worrisome MD should also receive therapy, the first screening can be postponed to 50 years, and endoscopic surveillance intervals for unremarkable MD and mild dysplasia can be lengthened to 3 and 5 years, respectively.

Indexed as

AdultAgedBiopsyChinaEsophageal NeoplasmsEsophagoscopyFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrecancerous ConditionsProspective StudiesRiskSurveys and Questionnaires

Identifiers

PMID32618654
PMCPMC7477846
OpenAlexW3030142833

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.