Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32616965›Full record

ArticleThe journal of political economy2020

Quantifying the Life-Cycle Benefits of an Influential Early-Childhood Program.

Jorge Luis Garca, James J Heckman, Duncan Ermini Leaf, María José Prados

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The journal of political economy, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 42 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
42citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

42 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Early childhood education and crime.Infant mental health journal · 2019
    Trial
  3. Promotion of long-term health in early life.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
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  11. The urban-rural gap in older Americans' healthy life expectancy.The Journal of rural health : official journal of the American Rural Health Association and the National Rural Health Care Association · 2025
    Article
  12. Article
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  19. Understanding Heterogeneity in the Impact of Public Preschool Programs.Monographs of the Society for Research in Child Development · 2023
    Article
  20. Skill building in early care and education programs.The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Jorge Luis GarcaDepartment of Economics, Clemson University, 228 Sirrine Hall, Clemson, SC 29630, , jorge.ggmenendez@gmail.com.
James J HeckmanCenter for the Economics of Human Development University of Chicago 1126 East 59th Street Chicago, IL 60637 jjh@uchicago.edu.
Duncan Ermini LeafCenter for Health Policy & Economics University of Southern California 635 Downey Way Los Angeles, CA 90089 , dleaf@healthpolicy.usc.edu.
María José PradosDornsife Center for Economic and Social Research University of Southern California 635 Downey Way Los Angeles, CA 90089 prados@usc.edu.

Funding

USC-Yale Roybal Center for Behavioral Interventions in AgingP30AG024968 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI JASON N. DOCTOR · 2004 to 2026
$14.7M
Integrated Lifecycle Approach to the Development of Health & Other CapabilitiesR37HD065072 · NICHD · NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH · PI HECKMAN, JAMES J · 2010 to 2019
$6.1M
Analyzing the Impacts of Two Influential Early Childhood Programs on Participants through MidlifeR01AG053343 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI BURCHINAL, MARGARET RUTH, HECKMAN, JAMES J · 2016 to 2021
$3.1M
Synthesizing and Interpreting the Evidence on Early InterventionsR01HD054702 · NICHD · NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH · PI HECKMAN, JAMES J · 2007 to 2011
$3.1M
Updating, Expanding, and Interpreting Perry Preschool Data through MidlifeR01AG042390 · NIA · NATIONAL OPINION RESEARCH CENTER · PI HECKMAN, JAMES J, SCHWEINHART, LAWRENCE JOSEPH · 2012 to 2016
$1.8M
Research Network on the Determinants of Life Course Capabilities and OutcomesR24AG048081 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI DUCKWORTH, ANGELA L, HECKMAN, JAMES J · 2014 to 2019
$1.2M
NIA NIH HHS P30 AG024968NIA NIH HHS R01 AG042390NIA NIH HHS R01 AG053343NIA NIH HHS R24 AG048081NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD054702NICHD NIH HHS R37 HD065072
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This paper quantifies and aggregates the multiple lifetime benefits of an influential high-quality early childhood program with outcomes measured through midlife. Guided by economic theory, we supplement experimental data with non-experimental data to forecast the life-cycle benefits and costs of the program. Our point estimate of the internal rate of return is 13.7% with an associated benefit/cost ratio of 7.3. We account for model estimation and forecasting error and present estimates from extensive sensitivity analyses. This paper is a template for synthesizing experimental and non-experimental data using economic theory to estimate the long-run life-cycle benefits of social programs.

Indexed as

C93cost-benefit analysisEarly childhood educationI28J13life-cycle benefitslong-term forecastsprogram evaluationrates of return

Identifiers

PMID32616965
PMCPMC7331936

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.