Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32616757›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2020

Finding hotspots: development of an adaptive spatial sampling approach.

Ricardo Andrade-Pacheco, Francois Rerolle, Jean Lemoine, Leda Hernandez, Aboulaye Meïté, Lazarus Juziwelo, Aurélien F Bibaut, Mark J van der Laan, Benjamin F Arnold, Hugh J W Sturrock

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Geospatial joint modeling of vector and parasite serology to microstratify malaria transmission.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  7. Review
  8. Sampling for malaria molecular surveillance.Trends in parasitology · 2023
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Neglected tropical disease control in a world with COVID-19: an opportunity and a necessity for innovation.Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene · 2021
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Ricardo Andrade-PachecoGlobal Health Group, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, USA.
Francois RerolleGlobal Health Group, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, USA.
Jean LemoineMinistère de la Santé Publique et de la Population, Port-au-Prince, Haiti.
Leda HernandezDepartment of Health, Infectious Disease Office, National Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Manila, Philippines.
Aboulaye MeïtéProgramme National de Lutte contre les Maladies Tropicales Négligées à Chimiothérapie Préventive, Ministère de la Santé et de l'Hygiène Publique, Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire.
Lazarus JuziweloNational Schistosomiasis and STH Control Programme, Ministry of Health, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Aurélien F BibautDivision of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, USA.
Mark J van der LaanDivision of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, USA.
Benjamin F ArnoldFrancis I. Proctor Foundation, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, USA.
Hugh J W SturrockGlobal Health Group, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, USA. hugh.sturrock@ucsf.edu.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The identification of disease hotspots is an increasingly important public health problem. While geospatial modeling offers an opportunity to predict the locations of hotspots using suitable environmental and climatological data, little attention has been paid to optimizing the design of surveys used to inform such models. Here we introduce an adaptive sampling scheme optimized to identify hotspot locations where prevalence exceeds a relevant threshold. Our approach incorporates ideas from Bayesian optimization theory to adaptively select sample batches. We present an experimental simulation study based on survey data of schistosomiasis and lymphatic filariasis across four countries. Results across all scenarios explored show that adaptive sampling produces superior results and suggest that similar performance to random sampling can be achieved with a fraction of the sample size.

Identifiers

PMID32616757
PMCPMC7331748

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.