Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32615191›Full record

ArticleChest2020

PROPHETIC: Prospective Identification of Pneumonia in Hospitalized Patients in the ICU.

Stephen P Bergin, Adrian Coles, Sara B Calvert, John Farley, John H Powers, Marcus J Zervos, Matthew Sims, Marin H Kollef, Michael J Durkin, Badih A Kabchi and 11 more

2 registry-linked trialsAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Chest, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02689531 completednot on this map

Prospective Observational Study of the Risk Factors for Hospital-Acquired and Ventilator-Associated Bacterial Pneumonia (HABP/VABP)

TypeobservationalSponsorDuke UniversityRan2016 to 2018Enrolled7,530ConditionsPneumonia, Ventilator-Associated, Pneumonia, Bacterial, Pneumonia, Hospital-Acquired
NCT06181669 completednot on this mapstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

Pneumonia Direct Pilot

TypeobservationalSponsorDuke UniversityRan2024 to 2025Enrolled173ConditionsPneumonia, Bacterial, Ventilator Associated PneumoniaArmsPathogen and Host Directed testing
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Observational
  2. A rapid surveillance of pneumonia in hospitalized patients: an opportunity for intervention.Revista espanola de quimioterapia : publicacion oficial de la Sociedad Espanola de Quimioterapia · 2026
    Article
  3. Incidence of nosocomial pneumonia and clinical outcomes of patients requiring non-invasive ventilation: A systematic review and meta-analysis.The Southern African journal of critical care : the official journal of the Critical Care Society · 2026
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Optimal antibiotic use in the intensive care unit.Critical care (London, England) · 2025
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Difficult-to-TreatAntibiotics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Review
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Antibacterial peptide Reg4 amelioratesMicrobiology spectrum · 2024
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Antimicrobial Resistance inMicroorganisms · 2023
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Ultra-Short-Course Antibiotics for Suspected Pneumonia With Preserved Oxygenation.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2023
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

21 authors.

Stephen P BerginDuke University, Durham, NC.
Adrian ColesDuke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, NC.
Sara B CalvertClinical Trials Transformation Initiative, Durham, NC.
John FarleyUS Food and Drug Administration, Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, Silver Spring, MD.
John H PowersGeorge Washington University School of Medicine, Washington, DC.
Marcus J ZervosHenry Ford Health System, Detroit, MI.
Matthew SimsBeaumont Health System, Royal Oak, MI.
Marin H KollefWashington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO.
Michael J DurkinWashington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO.
Badih A KabchiEast Carolina University, Greenville, NC.
Helen K DonnellyNorthwestern University, Chicago, IL.
Ana Cecilia BardossyHenry Ford Health System, Detroit, MI.
Claire GreenshieldsBeaumont Health System, Royal Oak, MI.
Daniel RubinUS Food and Drug Administration, Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, Silver Spring, MD.
Jie-Lena SunDuke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, NC.
Karen ChiswellDuke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, NC.
Jonas SantiagoUS Food and Drug Administration, Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, Silver Spring, MD.
Peidi GuDuke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, NC.
Pamela TenaertsClinical Trials Transformation Initiative, Durham, NC.
Vance G FowlerDuke University, Durham, NC; Duke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, NC. Electronic address: vance.fowler@duke.edu.
Thomas L HollandDuke University, Durham, NC; Duke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, NC.

Funding

Increasing the Quality and Efficiency of Clinical Trials (R18)R18FD005292 · FDA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI LI, JENNIFER S · 2014 to 2019
$26.8M
Washington University Institute of Clinical and Translational Sciences (KL2) KL2TR002346 · NCATS · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI Dominic N Reeds · 2017 to 2026
$14.0M
Mentoring Patient Oriented Research in Antibiotic-Resistant BacteriaK24AI093969 · NIAID · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI FOWLER, VANCE G. · 2011 to 2020
$1.6M
FDA HHS R18 FD005292FDA HHS U18 FD005292NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR002346NCEZID CDC HHS U54 CK000609NIAID NIH HHS K24 AI093969
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPneumonia is the leading infection-related cause of death. The use of simple clinical criteria and contemporary epidemiology to identify patients at high risk of nosocomial pneumonia should enhance prevention efforts and facilitate development of new treatments in clinical trials. RESEARCH QUESTION: What are the clinical criteria and contemporary epidemiology trends that are helpful in the identification of patients at high risk of nosocomial pneumonia? STUDY DESIGN AND

methodsWithin the ICUs of 28 US hospitals, we conducted a prospective cohort study among adults who had been hospitalized >48 hours and were considered high risk for pneumonia (defined as treatment with invasive or noninvasive ventilatory support or high levels of supplemental oxygen). We estimated the proportion of high-risk patients who experienced the development of nosocomial pneumonia. Using multivariable logistic regression, we identified patient characteristics and treatment exposures that are associated with increased risk of pneumonia development during the ICU admission.

resultsBetween February 6, 2016, and October 7, 2016, 4,613 high-risk patients were enrolled. Among 1,464 high-risk patients (32%) who were treated for possible nosocomial pneumonia, 537 (37%) met the study pneumonia definition. Among high-risk patients, a multivariable logistic model was developed to identify key patient characteristics and treatment exposures that are associated with increased risk of nosocomial pneumonia development (c-statistic, 0.709; 95% CI, 0.686-0.731). Key factors associated with increased odds of nosocomial pneumonia included an admission diagnosis of trauma or cerebrovascular accident, receipt of enteral nutrition, documented aspiration risk, and receipt of systemic antibacterials within the preceding 90 days.

interpretationTreatment for nosocomial pneumonia is common among patients in the ICU who are receiving high levels of respiratory support, yet more than one-half of patients who are treated do not fulfill standard diagnostic criteria for pneumonia. Application of simple clinical criteria may improve the feasibility of clinical trials of pneumonia prevention and treatment by facilitating prospective identification of patients at highest risk.

Indexed as

Critical CareCross InfectionPneumoniaRisk AssessmentAirway ManagementCritical PathwaysFemaleHumansIntensive Care UnitsMaleMiddle AgedPatient SelectionPrognosisProspective StudiesQuality ImprovementRisk FactorsICUnosocomialpneumonia

Identifiers

PMID32615191
PMCPMC7722207

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.