Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32614912›Full record

ArticlePloS one2020

AFP ratio predicts HCC recurrence after liver transplantation.

Christine Koch, Theresa Bette, Oliver Waidmann, Natalie Filmann, Christopher Schrecker, Jörg Trojan, Nina Weiler, Johannes Vermehren, Andreas A Schnitzbauer, Wolf Otto Bechstein and 3 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

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  7. Long-Term Prognostic Value of AFP and PIVKA-II in HCC After Living Donor Liver Transplantation: A Single-Center Retrospective Study.Transplant international : official journal of the European Society for Organ Transplantation · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Christine KochMedizinische Klinik 1, Universitätsklinikum Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-0901-9050
Theresa BetteMedizinische Klinik 1, Universitätsklinikum Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany.
Oliver WaidmannMedizinische Klinik 1, Universitätsklinikum Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany.
Natalie FilmannInstitut für Biostatistik und Mathematische Modellierung, Universitätsklinikum Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany.
Christopher SchreckerMedizinische Klinik 1, Universitätsklinikum Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany.
Jörg TrojanMedizinische Klinik 1, Universitätsklinikum Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany.
Nina WeilerMedizinische Klinik 1, Universitätsklinikum Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany.
Johannes VermehrenMedizinische Klinik 1, Universitätsklinikum Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany.
Andreas A SchnitzbauerKlinik für Allgemein- und Viszeralchirurgie, Universitätsklinikum Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany.
Wolf Otto BechsteinKlinik für Allgemein- und Viszeralchirurgie, Universitätsklinikum Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany.
Stefan ZeuzemMedizinische Klinik 1, Universitätsklinikum Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany.
Eva HerrmannInstitut für Biostatistik und Mathematische Modellierung, Universitätsklinikum Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany.
Martin-Walter WelkerMedizinische Klinik 1, Universitätsklinikum Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany.
Goethe University Frankfurt · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

aimsHepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading indication for liver transplantation (LT) worldwide. Early identification of patients at risk for HCC recurrence is of paramount importance since early treatment of recurrent HCC after LT may be associated with increased survival. We evaluated incidence of and predictors for HCC recurrence, with a focus on the course of AFP levels.

methodsWe performed a retrospective, single-center study of 99 HCC patients who underwent LT between January 28th, 1997 and May 11th, 2016. A multi-stage proportional hazards model with three stages was used to evaluate potential predictive markers, both by univariate and multivariable analysis, for influences on 1) recurrence after transplantation, 2) mortality without HCC recurrence, and 3) mortality after recurrence.

results19/99 HCC patients showed recurrence after LT. Waiting time was not associated with overall HCC recurrence (HR = 1, p = 0.979). Similarly, waiting time did not affect mortality in LT recipients both with (HR = 0.97, p = 0.282) or without (HR = 0.99, p = 0.685) HCC recurrence. Log10-transformed AFP values at the time of LT (HR 1.75, p = 0.023) as well as after LT (HR 2.07, p = 0.037) were significantly associated with recurrence. Median survival in patients with a ratio (AFP at recurrence divided by AFP 3 months before recurrence) of 0.5 was greater than 70 months, as compared to a median of only 8 months in patients with a ratio of 5.

conclusionA rise in AFP levels rather than an absolute threshold could help to identify patients at short-term risk for HCC recurrence post LT, which may allow intensification of the surveillance strategy on an individualized basis.

Indexed as

alpha-FetoproteinsCarcinoma, HepatocellularFemaleHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateLiver NeoplasmsLiver TransplantationMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalNeoplasm StagingProportional Hazards ModelsRetrospective StudiesRisk Factorsalpha-Fetoproteins

Identifiers

PMID32614912
PMCPMC7332004
OpenAlexW3039572339

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.