Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32611352›Full record

ArticleRespiratory research2020

Blood neutrophil counts are associated with exacerbation frequency and mortality in COPD.

Mike Lonergan, Alison J Dicker, Megan L Crichton, Holly R Keir, Melissa K Van Dyke, Hana Mullerova, Bruce E Miller, Ruth Tal-Singer, James D Chalmers

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Respiratory research, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 51 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
51citing papers in PubMed
5.3field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

51 citing papers in PubMed, 71 citations in OpenAlex.

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  13. Mechanisms and markers of lung ageing in health and disease.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2025
    Review
  14. Single-cell hdWGCNA reveals a novel diagnostic model and signature genes of macrophages associated with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.Inflammation research : official journal of the European Histamine Research Society ... [et al.] · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Mike LonerganScottish Centre for Respiratory Research, University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, DD1 9SY, UK.
Alison J DickerScottish Centre for Respiratory Research, University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, DD1 9SY, UK.
Megan L CrichtonScottish Centre for Respiratory Research, University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, DD1 9SY, UK.
Holly R KeirScottish Centre for Respiratory Research, University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, DD1 9SY, UK.
Melissa K Van DykeEpidemiology, Value Evidence and Outcomes, GSK R&D, Collegeville, PA, USA.
Hana MullerovaEpidemiology, Value Evidence and Outcomes, GSK R&D, Uxbridge, UK.
Bruce E MillerMedical Innovation, Value Evidence and Outcomes, GSK R&D, Collegeville, PA, USA.
Ruth Tal-SingerMedical Innovation, Value Evidence and Outcomes, GSK R&D, Collegeville, PA, USA.
James D ChalmersScottish Centre for Respiratory Research, University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, DD1 9SY, UK. jchalmers@dundee.ac.uk.
GlaxoSmithKline (United States) · USUniversity of Dundee · GBNinewells Hospital · GBHealth Economics and Outcomes Research (United Kingdom) · GB

Funding

GlaxoSmithKline TARDIS
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIdentifying patients with COPD at increased risk of poor outcomes is challenging due to disease heterogeneity. Potential biomarkers need to be readily available in real-life clinical practice. Blood eosinophil counts are widely studied but few studies have examined the prognostic value of blood neutrophil counts (BNC).

methodsIn a large population-based COPD registry in the East of Scotland (TARDIS: Tayside Allergic and Respiratory Disease Information System), BNC were compared to measures of disease severity and mortality for up to 15 years follow-up. Potential mechanisms of disease modification by BNC were explored in a nested microbiome substudy.

results178,120 neutrophil counts were obtained from 7220 people (mean follow up 9 years) during stable disease periods. Median BNC was 5200cells/μL (IQR 4000-7000cells/μL). Mortality rates among the 34% of patients with elevated BNCs (defined as 6000-15000cells/μL) at the study start were 80% higher (14.0/100 person years v 7.8/100py, P < 0.001) than those with BNC in the normal range (2000-6000cells/μL). People with elevated BNC were more likely to be classified as GOLD D (46% v 33% P < 0.001), have more exacerbations (mean 2.3 v 1.3/year, P < 0.001), and were more likely to have severe exacerbations (13% vs. 5%, P < 0.001) in the following year. Eosinophil counts were much less predictive of these outcomes. In a sub-cohort (N = 276), patients with elevated BNC had increased relative abundance of Proteobacteria and reduced microbiome diversity.

conclusionHigh BNC may provide a useful indicator of risk of exacerbations and mortality in COPD patients.

Indexed as

Leukocyte CountNeutrophilsAgedAged, 80 and overEosinophilsFemaleHumansMaleMicrobiotaMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsPulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveRegistriesScotlandCOPDEosinophilMicrobiomeMortalityNeutrophil

Identifiers

PMID32611352
PMCPMC7329438
OpenAlexW3038755558

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.