ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2020
Weather at the winter and stopover areas determines spring migration onset, progress, and advancements in Afro-Palearctic migrant birds.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers.
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Who cites it
31 citing papers in PubMed, 102 citations in OpenAlex.
- Article
- Latitudinal variation in seasonal migration of Eurasian curlews Numenius a. arquata breeding in Great Britain: breeding failure advances departure timing in southern populations.Movement ecology · 2026Article
- Fifty Years of Bird Ringing Reveal Opposing Seasonal Responses of Migration Timing to Temperature and Rainfall on Hilbre Island.Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Multiannual environmental forcing shapes breeding phenology and success in a sub-Antarctic seabird.Science advances · 2026Article
- Ecological barrier crossing strategies in small migratory birds depend on wing morphology and plumage color.iScience · 2026Article
- Impact of extreme weather on White Stork (Biodiversity data journal · 2026Article
- Enhanced forecasting of bird nocturnal migration intensity in relation to previous days and synoptic weather patterns.International journal of biometeorology · 2025Article
- Article
- Decoupling of bird migration from the changing phenology of spring green-up.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- Individuals departing non-breeding areas early achieve earlier breeding and higher breeding success.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- The effects of cities on quail (Coturnix coturnix) migration: a disturbing story of population connectivity, health, and ecography.Environmental monitoring and assessment · 2024Article
- Micro-evolutionary response of spring migration timing in a wild seabird.Evolution letters · 2024Article
- The efficiency of varying methods and degrees of time compensation for the solar azimuth.Biology letters · 2023Article
- Molecular Changes in the Brain of the WinteringInternational journal of molecular sciences · 2023Article
- Carry-Over Effects of Climate Variability at Breeding and Non-Breeding Grounds on Spring Migration in the European WrenAnimals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2023Article
- What causes bird-building collision risk? Seasonal dynamics and weather drivers.Ecology and evolution · 2023Article
- Acoustic Monitoring Confirms Significant Poaching Pressure of European Turtle Doves (Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2023Article
- Time-varying effects of local weather on behavior and probability of breeding deferral in two Arctic-nesting goose populations.Oecologia · 2023Article
- Land cover and NDVI are important predictors in habitat selection along migration for the Golden-crowned Sparrow, a temperate-zone migrating songbird.Movement ecology · 2023Article
- Current and lagged climate affects phenology across diverse taxonomic groups.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2023Article
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Authors and funding
3 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Climate change causes changes in the timing of life cycle events across all trophic groups. Spring phenology has mostly advanced, but large, unexplained, variations are present between and within species. Each spring, migratory birds travel tens to tens of thousands of kilometers from their wintering to their breeding grounds. For most populations, large uncertainties remain on their exact locations outside the breeding area, and the time spent there or during migration. Assessing climate (change) effects on avian migration phenology has consequently been difficult due to spatial and temporal uncertainties in the weather potentially affecting migration timing. Here, we show for six trans-Saharan long-distance migrants that weather at the wintering and stopover grounds almost entirely (∼80%) explains interannual variation in spring migration phenology. Importantly, our spatiotemporal approach also allows for the systematic exclusion of influences at other locations and times. While increased spring temperatures did contribute strongly to the observed spring migration advancements over the 55-y study period, improvements in wind conditions, especially in the Maghreb and Mediterranean, have allowed even stronger advancements. Flexibility in spring migration timing of long-distance migrants to exogenous factors has been consistently underestimated due to mismatches in space, scale, time, and weather variable type.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.