Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32595578›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in psychology2020

Biased Affective Forecasting: A Potential Mechanism That Enhances Resilience and Well-Being.

Desirée Colombo, Javier Fernández-Álvarez, Carlos Suso-Ribera, Pietro Cipresso, Azucena García-Palacios, Giuseppe Riva, Cristina Botella

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in psychology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  3. "Once a Soldier, always a Soldier" until you're not: The effect of identity loss on mental health and well-being following military discharge.Military psychology : the official journal of the Division of Military Psychology, American Psychological Association · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Desirée ColomboDepartment of Basic Psychology, Clinic and Psychobiology, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón de la Plana, Spain.
Javier Fernández-ÁlvarezDepartment of Psychology, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Milan, Italy.
Carlos Suso-RiberaDepartment of Basic Psychology, Clinic and Psychobiology, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón de la Plana, Spain.
Pietro CipressoDepartment of Psychology, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Milan, Italy.
Azucena García-PalaciosDepartment of Basic Psychology, Clinic and Psychobiology, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón de la Plana, Spain.
Giuseppe RivaDepartment of Psychology, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Milan, Italy.
Cristina BotellaDepartment of Basic Psychology, Clinic and Psychobiology, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón de la Plana, Spain.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

According to a growing body of studies, people's ability to forecast future emotional experiences is generally biased. Nonetheless, the existing literature has mainly explored affective forecasting in relation to specific events, whereas little is still known about the ability to make general estimations of future emotional states. Based on existing evidence suggesting future-oriented disposition as a key factor for mental health, the aims of the current study were (1) to investigate the relationship between negative (NA) and positive (PA) affective forecasting biases and perceived psychological well-being, and (2) to explore whether positively biased predictions are associated with resilience and foster one's skills to cope with stressful events. To do so, we asked 85 undergraduate students to forecast PA and NA over 2 weeks, as well as to report their daily affect through a web-based Ecological Momentary Assessment. According to the results, positively biased PA forecasting (i.e., overestimating positive emotional states) was associated with greater perceived psychological well-being and higher resilience. When high levels of stress were experienced, participants holding an optimistic, yet biased, estimation of future PA were more likely to successfully manage stressors, thus maintaining lower levels of NA and higher levels of positive emotions. We suggest that positively biased PA forecasting is an adaptive cognitive distortion that boosts people's resilience and mental health, thus opening new avenues for the promotion of psychological well-being.

Indexed as

affective forecastingcognitive biasecological momentary assessmentpsychological well-beingresilience

Identifiers

PMID32595578
PMCPMC7304283

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.