Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32594116›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2020

Distribution of Transmission Potential During Nonsevere COVID-19 Illness.

Nabin K Shrestha, Francisco Marco Canosa, Amy S Nowacki, Gary W Procop, Sherilynn Vogel, Thomas G Fraser, Serpil C Erzurum, Paul Terpeluk, Steven M Gordon

Registry-linked trialOpen access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04802408 (SARS-Cov-2), which is not on this map. Cited by 30 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04802408 phase2 / phase3active not recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2021, after this paper: background citation

SARS-Cov-2 (COVID-19) Nasal Pharyngeal and Oral Pharyngeal Wash (SNOW) Trial

TypeinterventionalSponsorMilton S. Hershey Medical CenterRan2021 to 2026Enrolled171ConditionsCovid19, SARS-CoV InfectionArmsShampoo and saline, Saline and Listerine, Shampoo and Listerine, Saline and Saline
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 49 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  11. Persistence of clinically relevant levels of SARS-CoV2 envelope gene subgenomic RNAs in non-immunocompromised individuals.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2022
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Epidemiological and Clinical Characteristics of Hospitalized Pediatric Patients with SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Mexico City, Mexico.The Canadian journal of infectious diseases & medical microbiology = Journal canadien des maladies infectieuses et de la microbiologie medicale · 2022
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  16. In vivo kinetics of SARS-CoV-2 infection and its relationship with a person's infectiousness.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
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  19. Performance of the Abbott ID NOW rapid SARS-CoV-2 amplification assay in relation to nasopharyngeal viral RNA loads.Journal of clinical virology : the official publication of the Pan American Society for Clinical Virology · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Nabin K ShresthaDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA.
Francisco Marco CanosaDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA.
Amy S NowackiDepartment of Quantitative Health Sciences, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA.
Gary W ProcopDepartment of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA.
Sherilynn VogelDepartment of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA.
Thomas G FraserDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA.
Serpil C ErzurumDepartment of Pulmonary Medicine, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA.
Paul TerpelukDepartment of Occupational Health, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA.
Steven M GordonDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA.
Cleveland Clinic · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPatients recovering from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) often continue to test positive for the causative virus by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) even after clinical recovery, thereby complicating return-to-work plans. The purpose of this study was to evaluate transmission potential of COVID-19 by examining viral load with respect to time.

methodsHealth care personnel (HCP) at Cleveland Clinic diagnosed with COVID-19, who recovered without needing hospitalization, were identified. Threshold cycles (Ct) for positive PCR tests were obtained and viral loads calculated. The association of viral load with days since symptom onset was examined in a multivariable regression model, which was reduced by stepwise backward selection to only keep variables significant at a level of .05. Viral loads by day since symptom onset were predicted using the model and transmission potential evaluated by examination of a viral load-time curve.

resultsOver 6 weeks, 230 HCP had 528 tests performed. Viral loads declined by orders of magnitude within a few days of symptom onset. The only variable significantly associated with viral load was time since onset of symptoms. Of the area under the curve (AUC) spanning symptom onset to 30 days, 96.9% lay within the first 7 days, and 99.7% within 10 days. Findings were very similar when validated using split-sample and 10-fold cross-validation.

conclusionsAmong patients with nonsevere COVID-19, viral loads in upper respiratory specimens peak by 2 or 3 days from symptom onset and decrease rapidly thereafter. The vast majority of the viral load-time AUC lies within 10 days of symptom onset.

Indexed as

COVID-19Health PersonnelHumansSARS-CoV-2Serologic TestsViral Loadarea under curvedisease transmissioninfectiousSARS virusviral load

Identifiers

PMID32594116
PMCPMC7337652
OpenAlexW3037914475

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.