Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32594104›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2021

The Safety of Delayed Versus Immediate Antibiotic Prescribing for Upper Respiratory Tract Infections.

Tjeerd Pieter van Staa, Victoria Palin, Benjamin Brown, William Welfare, Yan Li, Darren M Ashcroft

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 25% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Immediate versus delayed versus no antibiotics for respiratory infections.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2023
    Pooled it
  2. Delayed antibiotic prescriptions for respiratory infections.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2017
    Pooled it
  3. Review
  4. Antimicrobial stewardship strategies and programs in the outpatient settings: a scoping review.Antimicrobial stewardship & healthcare epidemiology : ASHE · 2026
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Tjeerd Pieter van StaaCentre for Health Informatics, Division of Informatics, Imaging, and Data Science, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine, and Health, The University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-9363-742X
Victoria PalinCentre for Health Informatics, Division of Informatics, Imaging, and Data Science, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine, and Health, The University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom.
Benjamin BrownCentre for Health Informatics, Division of Informatics, Imaging, and Data Science, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine, and Health, The University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom.
William WelfarePublic Health England North West, Manchester, United Kingdom.
Yan LiCentre for Health Informatics, Division of Informatics, Imaging, and Data Science, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine, and Health, The University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom.
Darren M AshcroftCentre for Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine, and Health, The University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom.
Manchester Academic Health Science Centre · GBPublic Health England · GBUtrecht University · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis study aimed to evaluate the clinical safety of delayed antibiotic prescribing for upper respiratory tract infections (URTIs), which is recommended in treatment guidelines for less severe cases.

methodsTwo population-based cohort studies used the English Clinical Practice Research Databank and Welsh Secure Anonymized Information Linkage, containing electronic health records from primary care linked to hospital admission records. Patients with URTI and prescriptions of amoxicillin, clarithromycin, doxycycline, erythromycin, or phenoxymethylpenicillin were identified. Patients were stratified according to delayed and immediate prescribing relative to URTI diagnosis. Outcome of interest was infection-related hospital admission after 30 days.

resultsThe population included 1.82 million patients with an URTI and antibiotic prescription; 91.7% had an antibiotic at URTI diagnosis date (immediate) and 8.3% had URTI diagnosis in 1-30 days before (delayed). Delayed antibiotic prescribing was associated with a 52% increased risk of infection-related hospital admissions (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.52; 95% confidence interval, 1.43-1.62). The probability of delayed antibiotic prescribing was unrelated to predicted risks of hospital admission. Analyses of the number needed to harm showed considerable variability across different patient groups (median with delayed antibiotic prescribing, 1357; 2.5% percentile, 295; 97.5% percentile, 3366).

conclusionsThis is the first large population-based study examining the safety of delayed antibiotic prescribing. Waiting to treat URTI was associated with increased risk of hospital admission, although delayed antibiotic prescribing was used similarly between high- and low-risk patients. There is a need to better target delayed antibiotic prescribing to URTI patients with lower risks of complications.

Indexed as

Anti-Bacterial AgentsRespiratory Tract InfectionsClarithromycinDoxycyclineErythromycinHumansInappropriate PrescribingPractice Patterns, Physicians'Anti-Bacterial AgentsClarithromycinDoxycyclineErythromycinantibioticseffectivenessepidemiologyprimary careupper respiratory tract infections

Identifiers

PMID32594104
PMCPMC8282258
OpenAlexW3037560992

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.