Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32592923›Full record

ArticleJournal of health economics2020

Health technology assessment with risk aversion in health.

Darius N Lakdawalla, Charles E Phelps

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of health economics, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 29 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. The value of timely treatment with anti-amyloid therapy for Alzheimer's disease.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2026
    Article
  2. The economic burden of functional neurological disorder.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2026
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Health Risk and the Value of Life.Journal of public economics · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. A principled approach to non-discrimination in cost-effectiveness.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2024
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. A review of HTA guidelines on societal and novel value elements.International journal of technology assessment in health care · 2023
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Cost-Effectiveness of Remdesivir for COVID-19 Treatment: What Are We Missing?Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research · 2022
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Darius N LakdawallaQuintiles Professor of Pharmaceutical Development and Regulatory Innovation, School of Pharmacy, Price School of Public Policy, Leonard D. Schaeffer Center for Health Policy and Economics, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA. 635 Downey Way, VPD 414K, Los Angeles, CA 90089-3333, USA; National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA, USA. Electronic address: dlakdawa@usc.edu.
Charles E PhelpsUniversity Professor and Provost Emeritus, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY, 30250 South Highway One, Gualala, CA 95445, USA. Electronic address: chuckphelps2@gmail.com.

Funding

USC Resource Center for Minority Aging Research (US-RCMAR)P30AG043073 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI EMMA AGUILA, JENNIFER A AILSHIRE · 2012 to 2026
$10.1M
Ensuring Access to Novel Alzheimer’s and Dementia Treatments: Evaluating Innovative Payment ApproachesR01AG062277 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI GOLDMAN, DANA P, LAKDAWALLA, DARIUS N. · 2018 to 2021
$2.3M
NIA NIH HHS P30 AG043073NIA NIH HHS R01 AG062277
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Standard cost-effectiveness models compare incremental cost increases to incremental average gains in health, commonly expressed in Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALYs). Our research generalizes earlier models in several ways. We introduce risk aversion in Quality of Life (QoL), which leads to "willingness-to-pay" thresholds that rise with illness severity, potentially by an order of magnitude. Unlike traditional CEA analyses, which discriminate against persons with disabilities, our analysis implies that the marginal value of improving QoL rises for disabled individuals. Our model can also value the uncertain benefits of medical interventions by employing well-established analytic methods from finance. Finally, we show that traditional QALYs no longer serve as a single index of health, when consumers are risk-averse. To address this problem, we derive a generalized single-index of health outcomes-the Generalized Risk-Adjusted QALY (GRA-QALY). Earlier models of CEA that abstract from risk-aversion nest as special cases of our more general model.

Indexed as

Persons with DisabilitiesQuality of LifeCost-Benefit AnalysisHumansQuality-Adjusted Life YearsTechnology Assessment, BiomedicalCost-effectivenessHealth technology assessmentQuality-Adjusted life-yearRisk and uncertainty

Identifiers

PMID32592923
PMCPMC7402585

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.