Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32589342›Full record

Trial reportJournal of the International AIDS Society2020

Lottery incentives have short-term impact on ART initiation among men: results from a randomized pilot study.

Ruanne V Barnabas, Alastair van Heerden, Margaret McConnell, Adam A Szpiro, Meighan L Krows, Torin T Schaafsma, Thulani Ngubane, Rose B Nxele, Philip Joseph, Jared M Baeten and 2 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Journal of the International AIDS Society, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03808194 (The Lotto to Link Study), which is not on this map. Cited by 23 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03808194 nacompletednot on this map

The Lotto to Link Study: A Prospective, Interventional, Randomized Study of Conditional Incentives to Engage HIV-positive Men in HIV Care in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of WashingtonRan2017 to 2019Enrolled132ConditionsIncentives, HIV Infections, ARTArmsConditional lottery incentive, Optimized ART linkage package
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  5. Incentivizing adherence to pre-exposure prophylaxis for HIV prevention: a randomized pilot trial among male sex workers in Mexico.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Ruanne V BarnabasDepartment of Global Health and Division of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1793-6003
Alastair van HeerdenHuman Sciences Research Council, Sweetwaters, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Margaret McConnellHarvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Adam A SzpiroDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Meighan L KrowsDepartment of Global Health and Division of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Torin T SchaafsmaDepartment of Global Health and Division of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Thulani NgubaneHuman Sciences Research Council, Sweetwaters, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Rose B NxeleHuman Sciences Research Council, Sweetwaters, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Philip JosephHuman Sciences Research Council, Sweetwaters, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Jared M BaetenDepartment of Global Health and Division of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8242-8438
Connie L CelumDepartment of Global Health and Division of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8813-3419
Heidi van RooyenHuman Sciences Research Council, Sweetwaters, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.

Funding

Do lottery incentive strategies increase engagement in HIV care and uptake of antiretroviral therapy among South African men?R21MH110026 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI BARNABAS, RUANNE VANESSA, VAN ROOYEN, HEIDI · 2016 to 2017
$336k
NIMH NIH HHS R21 MH110026
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionAmong people living with HIV in South Africa, viral suppression is lower among men than women. The study aim was to test the impact of lottery incentives, which reward positive health choice (e.g. antiretroviral therapy (ART) linkage) with a chance to win a prize, on strengthening the HIV care continuum including ART initiation and viral suppression for men.

methodsWe conducted a randomized, prospective trial of lottery incentives in the context of HIV testing and linkage to ART in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. Men living with HIV were randomly allocated to: lottery incentives and motivational text messages or motivational text messages only. Lottery prize eligibility was conditional on clinic registration, ART initiation, or viral suppression by one, three and six months respectively. After completing each continuum step, participants in the lottery group were notified whether they had won and were encouraged to continue in care. Lottery prizes were either a mobile phone, data or a gift card (valued at R1000/$100). Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted to determine time to ART initiation by study group. The primary outcome was viral suppression at six months.

resultsBetween November 2017 and December 2018, we tested 740 men for HIV and enrolled 131 HIV-positive men who reported not being on ART. At baseline, 100 (76%) participants were 30 years and older, 95 (73%) were unemployed and the median CD4 count was 472 cells/μL. At study exit, 84% (110/131) of participants had visited a clinic and 62% (81/131) were virally suppressed. Compared to motivational text messages, lottery incentives decreased the median time to ART initiation from 126 to 66 days (p = 0.0043, age-adjusted Cox regression) among all participants, and, from 134 days to 20 days (p = 0.0077) among participants who were not virally suppressed at baseline. Lottery incentives had an inconclusive effect on clinic registration (RR = 1.21, 95% CI: 0.83 to 1.76) and on viral suppression at six months (RR = 1.13, 95% CI: 0.73 to 1.75) compared to motivational text messages.

conclusionsConditional lottery incentives shortened the time to ART initiation among South African men. Behavioural economics strategies strengthen linkage to ART, but the study power was limited to see an impact on viral suppression. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: NCT03808194.

Indexed as

MotivationTime-to-TreatmentAdolescentAdultAnti-HIV AgentsCD4 Lymphocyte CountContinuity of Patient CareHIV InfectionsHumansMaleMiddle AgedPilot ProjectsProspective StudiesRewardRural PopulationSouth AfricaAnti-HIV AgentsARTconditional incentivescontinuum of careHIVlotterymenSouth Africa

Identifiers

PMID32589342
PMCPMC7319109

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.