Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32577870›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of colorectal disease2020

Development of a clinical model to predict secondary non-response of infliximab treatment in Crohn's disease.

Lijun Xu, Jun Shen, Qing Zheng

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Article in International journal of colorectal disease, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Lijun XuDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Key Laboratory of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ministry of Health, Inflammatory Bowel Disease Research Center, Shanghai Institute of Digestive Disease, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 160# Pu Jian Ave, Shanghai, 200127, China.
Jun ShenDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Key Laboratory of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ministry of Health, Inflammatory Bowel Disease Research Center, Shanghai Institute of Digestive Disease, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 160# Pu Jian Ave, Shanghai, 200127, China. shenjun@vip.163.com.
Qing ZhengDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Key Laboratory of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Ministry of Health, Inflammatory Bowel Disease Research Center, Shanghai Institute of Digestive Disease, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 160# Pu Jian Ave, Shanghai, 200127, China. qingzheng124@126.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeSecondary non-response to infliximab (IFX) in patients with Crohn's disease (CD) is so common that prediction of non-response is required to adopt the optimal therapy for an individual patient.

methodsThe clinical model was constructed in a training cohort. Clinical features, serological parameters, and genetic biomarkers at week 14 IFX therapy were obtained as predictors. Secondary non-response was defined at week 54. Univariate analysis was first performed to eliminate irrelevant predictors with non-response. Then, a logistic regression model was developed by using predictors with P < 0.1 in a univariate analysis. Finally, the model was validated with reference to its discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

resultsIn a univariate analysis, erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), the previous surgery, disease location, C-reactive protein (CRP), and TNFRSF1B (676 T>G) were found associated with secondary non-response to IFX. Logistic regression analysis with stepwise backward selection P < 0.05 then identified that ESR, the previous surgery, CRP, and TNFRSF1B (676 T>G) could serve as independent predictors, and a clinical model was developed based on the above predictors. Model 2 with TNFRSF1B (676 T>G) incorporated demonstrated more satisfactory discrimination (P = 0.029), better calibration (U P2 > 0.05), and higher clinical value in the validation cohort.

conclusionsThe study presents a model to predict non-response to IFX in CD, which incorporates previous surgery, ESR, CRP, and TNFRSF1B (676 T>G). This model can be used to help clinicians adjust the therapeutic strategy and CD patients avoid unnecessary exposure to IFX.

Indexed as

Crohn DiseaseC-Reactive ProteinGastrointestinal AgentsHumansInfliximabLogistic ModelsTreatment OutcomeC-Reactive ProteinGastrointestinal AgentsInfliximabClinical modelCrohn’s diseaseInfliximabSecondary non-responseTNFRSF1B (676 T>G)

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.