Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32572817›Full record

ArticleHepatology international2020

Development and validation of a clinical and laboratory-based nomogram to predict nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

Chao Cen, Wenpu Wang, Songfeng Yu, Xiaofeng Tang, Jimin Liu, Yuanxing Liu, Lin Zhou, Jun Yu, Shusen Zheng

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Hepatology international, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
5.2field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 50 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Chao CenDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310003, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7268-3638
Wenpu WangSchool of Statistics and Mathematics, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou, 310016, China.
Songfeng YuDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310003, China.
Xiaofeng TangDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310003, China.
Jimin LiuDepartment of Pathology and Molecular Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, McMaster University, 1200 Main Street West, Hamilton, L8S 4K1, Canada.
Yuanxing LiuDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310003, China.
Lin ZhouDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310003, China.
Jun YuDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310003, China.
Shusen ZhengDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310003, China. zyzss@zju.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9745-5065
First Affiliated Hospital Zhejiang University · CNMcMaster University · CAZhejiang Gongshang University · CN

Funding

Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province LY20H160023Zhejiang Provincial Medical & Hygienic Science and Technology Project of China 2018KY385
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimNonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is becoming the leading cause of chronic liver disease in China. The early identification and management of patients at risk are essential. We aimed to develop a novel clinical and laboratory-based nomogram (CLN) model to predict NAFLD with high accuracy.

methodsWe designed a retrospective cross-sectional study and enrolled 21,468 participants (16,468 testing and 5000 validation). Clinical information and laboratory/imaging results were retrieved. Significant variables independently associated with NAFLD were identified by a logistic regression model, and a NAFLD prediction CLN was constructed. The CLN was then compared with four existing NAFLD-related prediction models: the fatty liver index (FLI), the hepatic steatosis index (HSI), the visceral adiposity index (VAI) and the triglycerides and glucose (TyG) index. Area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) and decision curve analysis (DCA) were performed.

resultsA total of 6261/16,468 (38.02%) and 1759/5000 (35.18%) participants in the testing and validation datasets, respectively, had ultrasound-proven NAFLD. Six variables were selected to build the CLN: body mass index (BMI), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), uric acid (UA), fasting blood glucose (FBG), triglyceride (TG), and alanine aminotransferase (ALT). The diagnostic accuracy of the CLN for NAFLD (AUROC 0.857, 95% CI 0.852-0.863) was significantly superior to that of the FLI (AUROC 0.849, 95% CI 0.843-0.855), the VAI (AUROC 0.752, 95% CI 0.745-0.760), the HSI (AUROC 0.828, 95% CI 0.822-0.834), and the TyG index (AUROC 0.774, 95% CI 0.767-0.781) (all p < 0.001). DCA confirmed the clinical utility of the CLN.

conclusionsThis physical examination and laboratory test-based, nonimage-assisted novel nomogram has better performance in predicting NAFLD than the FLI, the VAI, the HSI and the TyG index alone. This model can be used as a quick screening tool to assess NAFLD in the general population.

Indexed as

LiverLiver Function TestsNomogramsNon-alcoholic Fatty Liver DiseaseUltrasonographyBiopsyBlood GlucoseChinaCross-Sectional StudiesEarly DiagnosisFemaleHumansIntra-Abdominal FatMaleMiddle AgedReproducibility of ResultsBlood GlucoseTriglyceridesEarly diagnosis and preventionFatty liver indexHealthy populationHepatic steatosis indexLiver biopsyMetabolic syndromeNonimage assistedPrediction modelTriglycerides and glucose indexVisceral adiposity index

Identifiers

PMID32572817
OpenAlexW3035796355

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.