Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32571231›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2020

Spatio-temporal analysis of socio-economic characteristics for pulmonary tuberculosis in Sichuan province of China, 2006-2015.

Lan Xia, Sui Zhu, Chuang Chen, Zheng-Yuan Rao, Yong Xia, Dan-Xia Wang, Pei-Ru Zhang, Jinge He, Ju-Ying Zhang, Jian-Lin Wu

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.4field-weighted citation impact, top 26% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Lan XiaDepartment of Tuberculosis, Sichuan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, No.6 middle school road, Wuhou district, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan Province, China.
Sui ZhuDepartment of Statistics, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Jinan University, No. 601, West of Huangpu Road, Guangzhou, 510632, Guangdong Province, China.
Chuang ChenDepartment of Tuberculosis, Sichuan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, No.6 middle school road, Wuhou district, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan Province, China.
Zheng-Yuan RaoDepartment of Tuberculosis, Sichuan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, No.6 middle school road, Wuhou district, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan Province, China.
Yong XiaDepartment of Tuberculosis, Sichuan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, No.6 middle school road, Wuhou district, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan Province, China.
Dan-Xia WangDepartment of Tuberculosis, Sichuan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, No.6 middle school road, Wuhou district, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan Province, China.
Pei-Ru ZhangDepartment of Tuberculosis, Sichuan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, No.6 middle school road, Wuhou district, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan Province, China.
Jinge HeDepartment of Tuberculosis, Sichuan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, No.6 middle school road, Wuhou district, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan Province, China.
Ju-Ying ZhangDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Sichuan University, No.17 Section 3, Renmin South Road, Chengdu, 610044, Sichuan Province, China. juying109@163.com.
Jian-Lin WuDepartment of Tuberculosis, Sichuan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, No.6 middle school road, Wuhou district, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan Province, China. scwjl888@163.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2987-2462
Sichuan Center for Disease Control and Prevention · CNJinan University · CNSichuan University · CN

Funding

China's 13th Five-year plan for major science and technology projects 2017ZX10201302-006
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe disease burden caused by pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) in Sichuan province still persisted at a high level, and large spatial variances were presented across regional distribution disparities. The socio-economic factors were suspected to affect the population of TB notification, we aimed to describe TB case notification rate (CNR) and identify which factors influence TB epidemic are necessary for the prevention and control of the disease in Sichuan province.

methodsA retrospective cross-sectional study and an ecological spatial analysis was conducted to quantify the presence and location of spatial clusters of TB by the Moran's I index and examined these patterns with socio-economic risk factors by hierarchical Bayesian spatio-temporal model.

resultsA total of 630,009 pulmonary TB cases were notified from 2006 to 2015 in 181 counties of Sichuan province. The CNR decreased year by year since 2007, from 88.70 to 61.37 per 100,000 persons. The spatial heterogeneities of CNR were observed during the study periods. Global Moran's I index varied from 0.23 to 0.44 with all P-value < 0.001. The Bayesian spatio-temporal model with parametric spatio-temporal interactions was chosen as the best model according to the minimum of Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)(19,379.01), and in which the quadratic form of time was taken. The proportion of age group and education year were all associated with CNR after adjusting the spatial effect, temporal effect and spatio-temporal interactions. TB CNR increased by 10.2% [95% credible interval (CI): 6.7-13.7%] for every 1-standard-deviation increase in proportion of age group and decreased by 23% (95% CI: 13.7-32.7%) for every 1-standard-deviation increase in education year.

conclusionsThere were spatial clusters of TB notification rate in Sichuan province from 2006 to 2015, and heavy TB burden was mainly attributed to aging and low socioeconomic status including poor education. Thus, it is more important to pay more attention to the elderly population and improve socioeconomic status including promoting education level in Sichuan province to reduce the TB burden.

Indexed as

Social ClassAgedAgingBayes TheoremChinaCross-Sectional StudiesDisease NotificationEducational StatusEpidemicsFemaleHumansMaleRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsSpatio-Temporal AnalysisTuberculosis, PulmonaryHierarchical Bayesian spatio-temporal modelMoran’s ISocial-economic factorTuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID32571231
PMCPMC7310234
OpenAlexW3036281949

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.