Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32552759›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2020

Spatio-temporal variation of malaria hotspots in Central Senegal, 2008-2012.

Sokhna Dieng, El Hadj Ba, Badara Cissé, Kankoe Sallah, Abdoulaye Guindo, Boukary Ouedraogo, Martine Piarroux, Stanislas Rebaudet, Renaud Piarroux, Jordi Landier and 2 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT00712374 (Evaluation of the Public Health Impact and Cost Effectiveness of Seasonal Intermittent Preventive Treatment in Children in Senegal), which is not on this map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00712374 phase4unknown statusnot on this map

Evaluation of the Public Health Impact and Cost Effectiveness of Seasonal Intermittent Preventive Treatment in Children in Senegal

TypeinterventionalSponsorLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical MedicineRan2008 to 2012Enrolled100,000ConditionsMalariaArmssulfadoxine-pyrimethamine plus amodiaquine
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Observational
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Spatio-Temporal Variability of Malaria Incidence in the Health District of Kati, Mali, 2015-2019.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Sokhna DiengAix Marseille Univ, IRD, INSERM, SESSTIM, Marseille, France. sokhna.dieng@etu.univ-amu.fr.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0603-1986
El Hadj BaUMR VITROME, Campus International IRD-UCAD de l'IRD, Dakar, Sénégal.
Badara CisséInstitut de Recherche en Santé, de Surveillance Épidémiologique et de Formation (IRESSEF) Diamniadio, Dakar, Sénégal.
Kankoe SallahAix Marseille Univ, IRD, INSERM, SESSTIM, Marseille, France.
Abdoulaye GuindoAix Marseille Univ, IRD, INSERM, SESSTIM, Marseille, France.
Boukary OuedraogoAix Marseille Univ, IRD, INSERM, SESSTIM, Marseille, France.
Martine PiarrouxFrench Armed Forces Center for Epidemiology and Public Health (CESPA), Marseille, France.
Stanislas RebaudetAPHM, Assistance Publique - Hôpitaux de Marseille, Marseille, France.
Renaud PiarrouxSorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre-Louis d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique, AP-HP, Hôpital Pitié-Salpêtrière, Paris, France.
Jordi LandierAix Marseille Univ, IRD, INSERM, SESSTIM, Marseille, France.
Cheikh SokhnaUMR VITROME, Campus International IRD-UCAD de l'IRD, Dakar, Sénégal.
Jean GaudartAix Marseille Univ, APHM, INSERM, IRD, SESSTIM, Hop Timone, BioSTIC, Biostatistic & ICT, Marseille, France.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn malaria endemic areas, identifying spatio-temporal hotspots is becoming an important element of innovative control strategies targeting transmission bottlenecks. The aim of this work was to describe the spatio-temporal variation of malaria hotspots in central Senegal and to identify the meteorological, environmental, and preventive factors that influence this variation.

methodsThis study analysed the weekly incidence of malaria cases recorded from 2008 to 2012 in 575 villages of central Senegal (total population approximately 500,000) as part of a trial of seasonal malaria chemoprevention (SMC). Data on weekly rainfall and annual vegetation types were obtained for each village through remote sensing. The time series of weekly malaria incidence for the entire study area was divided into periods of high and low transmission using change-point analysis. Malaria hotspots were detected during each transmission period with the SaTScan method. The effects of rainfall, vegetation type, and SMC intervention on the spatio-temporal variation of malaria hotspots were assessed using a General Additive Mixed Model.

resultsThe malaria incidence for the entire area varied between 0 and 115.34 cases/100,000 person weeks during the study period. During high transmission periods, the cumulative malaria incidence rate varied between 7.53 and 38.1 cases/100,000 person-weeks, and the number of hotspot villages varied between 62 and 147. During low transmission periods, the cumulative malaria incidence rate varied between 0.83 and 2.73 cases/100,000 person-weeks, and the number of hotspot villages varied between 10 and 43. Villages with SMC were less likely to be hotspots (OR = 0.48, IC95%: 0.33-0.68). The association between rainfall and hotspot status was non-linear and depended on both vegetation type and amount of rainfall. The association between village location in the study area and hotspot status was also shown.

conclusionIn our study, malaria hotspots varied over space and time according to a combination of meteorological, environmental, and preventive factors. By taking into consideration the environmental and meteorological characteristics common to all hotspots, monitoring of these factors could lead targeted public health interventions at the local level. Moreover, spatial hotspots and foci of malaria persisting during LTPs need to be further addressed.

trial registrationThe data used in this work were obtained from a clinical trial registered on July 10, 2008 at www.clinicaltrials.gov under NCT00712374.

Indexed as

Spatio-Temporal AnalysisChemopreventionEndemic DiseasesHumansIncidenceMalariaPlasmodiumRainRisk FactorsSenegalGeostatistical analysesMalaria hotspotsNon-linear associationsSpatial clustersSpatio-temporal dynamic

Identifiers

PMID32552759
PMCPMC7301493

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.