Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32551420›Full record

ArticleTurkish journal of surgery2019

Validation of prognostic scoring systems for predicting 30-day mortality in perforated peptic ulcer disease.

Shaili Patel, Devanshu Kalra, Samir Kacheriwala, Mihir Shah, Dipesh Duttaroy

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Turkish journal of surgery, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Risk factors for leak after omentopexy for duodenal ulcer perforations.European journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society · 2023
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Early post-operative morbidity and mortality predictors in peptic ulcer perforation.Ulusal travma ve acil cerrahi dergisi = Turkish journal of trauma & emergency surgery : TJTES · 2022
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Shaili PatelDepartment of Surgery, Medical College Baroda and Sir Sayajirao General Hospital, Vadodara, India.
Devanshu KalraDepartment of Surgery, Medical College Baroda and Sir Sayajirao General Hospital, Vadodara, India.
Samir KacheriwalaDepartment of Surgery, Medical College Baroda and Sir Sayajirao General Hospital, Vadodara, India.
Mihir ShahDepartment of Surgery, Medical College Baroda and Sir Sayajirao General Hospital, Vadodara, India.
Dipesh DuttaroyDepartment of Surgery, Medical College Baroda and Sir Sayajirao General Hospital, Vadodara, India.
Sir Sayajirao General Hospital Medical College · IN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesPerforations in Peptic Ulcer Disease are known to cause considerable morbidity and mortality. The objective of this study was to compare efficacy of known clinical parameters and three existing scoring systems in predicting 30-day mortality and determining mortality risk stratification based on risk factors. MATERIAL AND

methodsThis was a prospective observational study of 190 patients operated for perforated peptic ulcer over a period of 14 months at a 1500 bed tertiary care university hospital in Western India.

resultsThe mortality rate observed was 18.95%. Elderly population, raised serum creatinine, time delay to surgery > 24 hours, preoperative shock and pre-existing medical illness were identified as risk factors for poor postoperative prognosis. The Area under curve for mortality prediction was 0.590 for ASA, 0.745 for Boey and 0.804 for PULP score. Mortality was best anticipated by a combination of raised serum creatinine levels, preoperative shock and delayed surgery by multivariate logistic regression analysis.

conclusionPoor outcome was significantly higher in the elderly, patients with raised serum creatinine, preoperative shock, pre-existing medical illness and when the time delay to surgery was > 24 hours. In spite of the Boey score being more practical in application, PULP score proved to be a more precise indicator of mortality. A larger study inclusive of other Mortality Risk Prediction Models would help formulate a more accurate and population specific scoring system.

Indexed as

30-day mortalityPerforated peptic ulcerrisk factorsscoring systems

Identifiers

PMID32551420
PMCPMC7282445
OpenAlexW2998207541

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.