ArticleScience advances2020
Transmission dynamics of and insights from the 2018-2019 measles outbreak in New York City: A modeling study.
Article in Science advances, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
23 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- The role of children in household transmission of COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2022Pooled it
- Vaccination against COVID-19: A systematic review and meta-analysis of acceptability and its predictors.Preventive medicine · 2021Pooled it
- Risk and Spatial Spread of a Measles Outbreak in Texas.Viruses · 2026Article
- The 2025 measles outbreak in Texas.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
- Article
- Immunization registries: an essential tool for measles elimination in Canada.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2026Article
- Construction and Preclinical Evaluation of a Recombinant Attenuated Measles Vaccine Candidate of the H1a Genotype.Vaccines · 2025Article
- Measles in Canada: modelling outbreaks with variable vaccine coverage and interventions.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Global burden of varicella and herpes zoster across 204 countries, 1990-2021: a temporal trend analysis in the era of the COVID-19 pandemic and projections to 2036.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Household Transmission and Clinical Features of Respiratory Tract Infections That Were SARS-CoV-2 Positive and Negative.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2024Article
- Hospital-acquired infections and unvaccinated children due to chronic diseases: an investigation of the 2017-2019 measles outbreak in the northern region of Vietnam.BMC infectious diseases · 2024Article
- Electrically polarized nanoscale surfaces generate reactive oxygenated and chlorinated species for deactivation of microorganisms.Science advances · 2024Article
- Determinants of measles persistence in Beijing, China: A modelling study.Epidemiology and infection · 2023Article
- Measles outbreak investigation in Kasoshekumer kebele, Sinana district, South-Eastern Oromia, Ethiopia: A case-control study.SAGE open medicine · 2023Article
- COVID-19 Vaccine Acceptance Rate and Its Factors among Healthcare Students: A Systematic Review with Meta-Analysis.Vaccines · 2022Review
- Morbilliform Eruptions in the Hospitalized Child.Dermatologic clinics · 2022Review
- Parents' and Guardians' Willingness to Vaccinate Their Children against COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Vaccines · 2022Review
- Psychological determinants of COVID-19 vaccine acceptance among urban slum dwellers of Bangladesh.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Article
- Vaccine-Associated Measles in a Hematopoietic Cell Transplant Recipient: Case Report and Comprehensive Review of the Literature.Open forum infectious diseases · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
1 author.
Funding
Abstract
In 2018-2019, New York City experienced the largest measles outbreak in the United States in nearly three decades. To identify key contributing factors, we modeled the transmission dynamics of this outbreak. Results indicate that delayed vaccination of 1- to 4-year-olds enabled the initial spread and that increased infectious contact, likely via "measles parties," facilitated later transmission. We found that around half of infants were susceptible by age 1 and thus had many infections. Without the implemented vaccination campaigns, numbers of infections and hospitalizations could have been >10 times higher and would predominantly affect those under 4. These results suggest that a first vaccine dose before age 1 and the second dose before age 4 could allow parents to vaccinate and protect children more effectively should a high level of vaccine hesitancy persist. Enhanced public health education is needed to reduce activities that unnecessarily expose children to measles and other infections.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.