Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32544727›Full record

ArticleEnvironment international2020

Nonlinear temperature-suicide association in Japan from 1972 to 2015: Its heterogeneity and the role of climate, demographic, and socioeconomic factors.

Kisung Sim, Yoonhee Kim, Masahiro Hashizume, Antonio Gasparrini, Ben Armstrong, Francesco Sera, Chris Fook Sheng Ng, Yasushi Honda, Yeonseung Chung

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environment international, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.3field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 38 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. A Systematic Literature Review of the Impact of Climate Change on the Global Demand for Psychiatric Services.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023
    Pooled it
  2. Suicide and Associations with Air Pollution and Ambient Temperature: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Pooled it
  3. Observational
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  6. The correlation between high temperature and cognitive function: a CHARLS 2018 cross-sectional study.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Kisung SimDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, 291 Daehak-ro, Yuseong-Gu, Daejeon 305-701, South Korea.
Yoonhee KimDepartment of Global Environmental Health, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-0033, Japan.
Masahiro HashizumeDepartment of Global Health Policy, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-0033, Japan.
Antonio GasparriniDepartment of Public Health, Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, University of London, London WC1E 7HT, UK; Center for Statistical Methodology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, University of London, London WC1E 7HT, UK; Centre on Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London WC1E 7HT, UK.
Ben ArmstrongDepartment of Public Health, Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, University of London, London WC1E 7HT, UK.
Francesco SeraDepartment of Public Health, Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, University of London, London WC1E 7HT, UK.
Chris Fook Sheng NgSchool of Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nagasaki University, 1-12-4 Sakamoto, Nagasaki 852-8523, Japan.
Yasushi HondaFaculty of Health and Sport Sciences, University of Tsukuba, 1-1-1 Tennodai (Comprehensive Res Build D), Tsukuba 305-8577, Japan.
Yeonseung ChungDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, 291 Daehak-ro, Yuseong-Gu, Daejeon 305-701, South Korea. Electronic address: dolyura@kaist.edu.
University of London · GBKorea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology · KRThe University of Tokyo · JPNagasaki University · JPUniversity of Tsukuba · JP

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/M022625/1Medical Research Council MR/R013349/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

It has been reported that suicide is associated with ambient temperature; however, the heterogeneity in this association and its underlying factors have not been extensively investigated. Therefore, we investigated the spatial and temporal variation in the temperature-suicide association and examined climatic, demographic, and socioeconomic factors that may underlie such heterogeneity. We analyzed the daily time-series data for the suicide counts and ambient temperature, which were collected for the 47 prefectures of Japan from 1972 to 2015, using a two-stage analysis. In the first stage, the prefecture-specific temperature-suicide association was estimated by using a generalized linear model. In the second stage, the prefecture-specific associations were pooled, and key factors explaining the spatial and temporal variation were identified by using mixed effects meta-regression. Results showed that there is an inverted J-shape nonlinear association between temperature and suicide; the suicide risk increased with temperature but leveled off above 24.4 °C. The nationwide relative risk (RR) for the maximum suicide temperature versus 5th temperature percentile (2.9 °C) was estimated as 1.26 (95% CI: 1.22, 1.29). The RRs were larger for females than for males (1.32 vs. 1.22) and larger for elderly people (≥65 y) than for the non-elderly (15-64 y) (1.51 vs. 1.18). The RRs were larger for rural prefectures, which are characterized by smaller population, higher proportions of females and elderly people, and lower levels of financial capability and the proportion of highly educated people. The RRs were also larger in colder and less humid prefectures. These findings may help in understanding the potential mechanism of the temperature-suicide association and projecting the future risk of suicide under climate change.

Indexed as

SuicideAgedDemographyFemaleHumansJapanMaleMiddle AgedSocioeconomic FactorsTemperatureClimate changeDemographic factorHeterogeneitySocioeconomic statusTemperature–suicide association

Identifiers

PMID32544727
PMCPMC7339135
OpenAlexW3034663349

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.