ArticleEpidemics2020
The effects of border control and quarantine measures on the spread of COVID-19.
Article in Epidemics, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 45 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
45 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Public health effects of travel-related policies on the COVID-19 pandemic: A mixed-methods systematic review.The Journal of infection · 2021Pooled it
- Effective public health measures to mitigate the spread of COVID-19: a systematic review.BMC public health · 2021Pooled it
- International travel-related control measures to contain the COVID-19 pandemic: a rapid review.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2021Pooled it
- Evidence of the effectiveness of travel-related measures during the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic: a rapid systematic review.BMJ global health · 2021Pooled it
- Policy challenges in the provision of COVID-19 border screening: evidence from eight countries.BMC public health · 2026Review
- Importation models for travel-related SARS-CoV-2 cases reported in Newfoundland and Labrador during the COVID-19 pandemic.Royal Society open science · 2025Article
- Multi-region infectious disease prediction modeling based on spatio-temporal graph neural network and the dynamic model.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Effectiveness of Point of Entry Health Screening Measures among Travelers in the Detection and Containment of the International Spread of COVID-19: A Review of the Evidence.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2024Review
- Assessing the efficacy of health countermeasures on arrival time of infectious diseases.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2023Article
- Transportation as a Disease Vector in COVID-19: Border Mobility and Disease Spread.Transportation research record · 2023Article
- How to avoid a local epidemic becoming a global pandemic.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
- Fine-scale variation in the effect of national border on COVID-19 spread: A case study of the Saxon-Czech border region.Spatial and spatio-temporal epidemiology · 2023Article
- Nurse, Give Me the News! Understanding Support for and Opposition to a COVID-19 Health Screening System.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Assessing the impact of local context and priorities regarding domestic disease outbreaks and imported risk on early pandemic response: Cross-continental comparisons.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Borderland Economic Resilience under COVID-19: Evidence from China-Russia Border Regions.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- The impact of air travel on the precocity and severity of COVID-19 deaths in sub-national areas across 45 countries.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Modelling effectiveness of COVID-19 pandemic control policies using an Area-based SEIR model with consideration of infection during interzonal travel.Transportation research. Part A, Policy and practice · 2022Article
- Air transportation as a puzzle piece of COVID-19 in Africa?Research in transportation business & management · 2022Article
- Investigating the efficiency of dynamic vaccination by consolidating detecting errors and vaccine efficacy.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Unequal impact and spatial aggregation distort COVID-19 growth rates.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The rapid expansion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has been observed in many parts of the world. Many newly reported cases of COVID-19 during early outbreak phases have been associated with travel history from an epidemic region (identified as imported cases). For those cases without travel history, the risk of wider spreads through community contact is even higher. However, most population models assume a homogeneous infected population without considering that the imported and secondary cases contracted by the imported cases can pose different risks to community spread. We have developed an "easy-to-use" mathematical framework extending from a meta-population model embedding city-to-city connections to stratify the dynamics of transmission waves caused by imported, secondary, and others from an outbreak source region when control measures are considered. Using the cumulative number of the secondary cases, we are able to determine the probability of community spread. Using the top 10 visiting cities from Wuhan in China as an example, we first demonstrated that the arrival time and the dynamics of the outbreaks at these cities can be successfully predicted under the reproduction number R
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.