Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32537503›Full record

ArticleScience advances2020

Two centuries of settlement and urban development in the United States.

Stefan Leyk, Johannes H Uhl, Dylan S Connor, Anna E Braswell, Nathan Mietkiewicz, Jennifer K Balch, Myron Gutmann

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  4. Changes in agglomeration and productivity are poor predictors of inequality across the archaeological record.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Impervious cover change as an indicator of environmental equity.Remote sensing applications : society and environment · 2024
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
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  13. Article
  14. Grain Production Space Reconstruction and Its Influencing Factors in the Loess Plateau.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Stefan LeykDepartment of Geography, University of Colorado Boulder, 260 UCB, Boulder, CO 80309, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9180-4853
Johannes H UhlDepartment of Geography, University of Colorado Boulder, 260 UCB, Boulder, CO 80309, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4861-5915
Dylan S ConnorSchool of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85281, USA.
Anna E BraswellEarth Lab, University of Colorado Boulder, 4001 Discovery Drive Suite S348, 611 UCB, Boulder, CO 80309, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3677-0635
Nathan MietkiewiczEarth Lab, University of Colorado Boulder, 4001 Discovery Drive Suite S348, 611 UCB, Boulder, CO 80309, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2287-0408
Jennifer K BalchDepartment of Geography, University of Colorado Boulder, 260 UCB, Boulder, CO 80309, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3983-7970
Myron GutmannInstitute of Behavioral Science, University of Colorado Boulder, 483 UCB, Boulder, CO 80309, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6808-3573

Funding

University of Colorado Population CenterP2CHD066613 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO · PI JANE A MENKEN · 2015 to 2026
$3.7M
Health, Social, and Demographic Trends in Rural CommunitiesR21HD098717 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO · PI HUNTER, LORI M. · 2019 to 2020
$418k
NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD066613NICHD NIH HHS R21 HD098717
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Over the past 200 years, the population of the United States grew more than 40-fold. The resulting development of the built environment has had a profound impact on the regional economic, demographic, and environmental structure of North America. Unfortunately, constraints on data availability limit opportunities to study long-term development patterns and how population growth relates to land-use change. Using hundreds of millions of property records, we undertake the finest-resolution analysis to date, in space and time, of urbanization patterns from 1810 to 2015. Temporally consistent metrics reveal distinct long-term urban development patterns characterizing processes such as settlement expansion and densification at fine granularity. Furthermore, we demonstrate that these settlement measures are robust proxies for population throughout the record and thus potential surrogates for estimating population changes at fine scales. These new insights and data vastly expand opportunities to study land use, population change, and urbanization over the past two centuries.

Identifiers

PMID32537503
PMCPMC7269677

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.