Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32532852›Full record

Observational studyThorax2020

Association between COPD exacerbations and lung function decline during maintenance therapy.

Marjan Kerkhof, Jaco Voorham, Paul Dorinsky, Claudia Cabrera, Patrick Darken, Janwillem Wh Kocks, Mohsen Sadatsafavi, Don D Sin, Victoria Carter, David B Price

Open access · hybridAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Thorax, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
37citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.8field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 61 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Characterization of Patients with COPD and GOLD E Classification in the United States.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. The Burden of COPD with Type 2 Inflammation in North-West Continental Europe.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2025
    Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Phenotypes, Etiotypes, and Endotypes of Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine · 2023
    Review
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 6 institutions in 6 countries.

Marjan KerkhofObservational and Pragmatic Research Institute, Singapore.
Jaco VoorhamObservational and Pragmatic Research Institute, Singapore.
Paul DorinskyAstraZeneca, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Claudia CabreraAstraZeneca, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Patrick DarkenAstraZeneca, 280 Headquarters Plaza, East Tower, Morristown, NJ 07960, USA.
Janwillem Wh KocksObservational and Pragmatic Research Institute, Singapore.
Mohsen SadatsafaviRespiratory Evaluation Sciences Program, Faculty of Pharmaceutical Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-0419-7862
Don D SinRespiratory Evaluation Sciences Program, Faculty of Pharmaceutical Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Victoria CarterObservational and Pragmatic Research Institute, Singapore.
David B PriceObservational and Pragmatic Research Institute, Singapore dprice@opri.sg.ORCID 0000-0002-9728-9992
Observational & Pragmatic Research Institute · SGAstraZeneca (United States) · USUniversity of British Columbia · CAGeneral Practitioners Research Institute · NLKarolinska Institutet · SEUniversity of Aberdeen · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLittle is known about the impact of exacerbations on COPD progression or whether inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) use and blood eosinophil count (BEC) affect progression. We aimed to assess this in a prospective observational study.

methodsThe study population included patients with mild to moderate COPD, aged ≥35 years, with a smoking history, who were followed up for ≥3 years from first to last spirometry recording using two large UK electronic medical record databases: Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) and Optimum Patient Care Research Database (OPCRD). Multilevel mixed-effects linear regression models were used to determine the relationship between annual exacerbation rate following initiation of therapy (ICS vs non-ICS) and FEV

resultsOf 12178 patients included (mean age 66 years; 48% female), 8981 (74%) received ICS. In patients with BEC ≥350 cells/µL not on ICS, each exacerbation was associated with subsequent acceleration of FEV

conclusionExacerbations are associated with a more rapid loss of lung function among COPD patients with elevated blood eosinophils, defined as ≥350 cells/µL, not treated with ICS. More aggressive prevention of exacerbations using ICS in such patients may prevent excess loss of lung function.

Indexed as

Disease ProgressionEosinophilsAdministration, InhalationAdrenal Cortex HormonesAgedFemaleFollow-Up StudiesForced Expiratory VolumeHumansLeukocyte CountMaintenance ChemotherapyMaleMedication AdherenceMiddle AgedProspective StudiesPulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveAdrenal Cortex HormonesCOPD exacerbationsCOPD pharmacologyeosinophil biologylung physiology

Identifiers

PMID32532852
PMCPMC7476283
OpenAlexW3034174042

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.