Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32530356›Full record

Observational studyAnnals of medicine2020

NEWS and qSIRS superior to qSOFA in the prediction of 30-day mortality in emergency department patients in Hong Kong.

Colin A Graham, Ling Yan Leung, Ronson Sze Long Lo, Chun Yu Yeung, Suet Yi Chan, Kevin Kei Ching Hung

Abstract readComparative StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Annals of medicine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Screening tools for sepsis identification in paramedicine and other emergency contexts: a rapid systematic review.Scandinavian journal of trauma, resuscitation and emergency medicine · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Colin A GrahamAccident and Emergency Medicine Academic Unit, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Ling Yan LeungAccident and Emergency Medicine Academic Unit, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Ronson Sze Long LoAccident and Emergency Medicine Academic Unit, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Chun Yu YeungAccident and Emergency Medicine Academic Unit, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Suet Yi ChanAccident and Emergency Medicine Academic Unit, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Kevin Kei Ching HungAccident and Emergency Medicine Academic Unit, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.ORCID 0000-0001-8706-7758

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe aim to compare the prognostic value of Quick Sepsis-Related Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) and the previous Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS) criteria, the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) and along with their combinations in the emergency department (ED).

methodsThis single-centre prospective study recruited a convenience sample of unselected ED patients triaged as category 2 (Emergency) and 3 (Urgent). Receiver Operating Characteristic analyses were performed to determine the Area Under the Curve (AUC), along with sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, positive and negative likelihood ratios for the various scores.

resultsOf 1253 patients recruited, overall 30-day mortality was 5.7%. The prognostic value for prediction of 30-day mortality, with AUCs for qSOFA ≥2, SIRS ≥2, NEWS ≥5, qSIRS (qSOFA + SIRS) ≥2 and NSIRS (NEWS + SIRS) ≥5 of 0.56 (95%CI 0.53-0.58), 0.61 (95%CI 0.58-0.64), 0.61 (95%CI 0.58-0.64), 0.64 (95%CI 0.62-0.67) and 0.61 (95%CI 0.58-0.63), respectively. Using pairwise comparisons of ROC curves, NEWS ≥5 and qSIRS ≥2 were better than qSOFA ≥2 at predicting 30-day mortality.

conclusionsAmong unselected emergency and urgent ED patients, the prognostic value for NEWS and qSIRS were greater than qSOFA, Combinations of qSOFA and SIRS could improve the predictive value for 30-day mortality for ED patients. Key messages NEWS ≥5 and qSIRS ≥2 were better than qSOFA ≥2 at predicting 30-day mortality in ED patients. Combinations of qSOFA and SIRS could improve the predictive value for 30-day mortality for ED patients.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overArea Under CurveConsensusEarly Warning ScoreEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleHong KongHumansLactic AcidMaleMiddle AgedMortalityOrgan Dysfunction ScoresPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisLactic Acidemergency departmentlactateNEWSNSIRSqSIRSqSOFASIRS

Identifiers

PMID32530356
PMCPMC7877938

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.