Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32523698›Full record

ArticleConservation physiology2020

Avian mortality risk during heat waves will increase greatly in arid Australia during the 21st century.

Shannon R Conradie, Stephan M Woodborne, Blair O Wolf, Anaïs Pessato, Mylene M Mariette, Andrew E McKechnie

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Conservation physiology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Acute Heat Exposure Upregulates Zebra Finch Physiology While Avoiding DNA Damage Across Both Sexes.Journal of experimental zoology. Part A, Ecological and integrative physiology · 2026
    Article
  3. Classifying avian drinking behaviour: ecological insights and implications in a changing world.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2026
    Review
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  12. In-situ responses of temperate-zone bats to climate change.Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · 2025
    Review
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  20. Infection burdens and virulence under heat stress: ecological and evolutionary considerations.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Shannon R ConradieSouth African Research Chair in Conservation Physiology, South African National Biodiversity Institute, 2 Cussonia Ave, Brummeria, Pretoria 0184, South Africa.
Stephan M WoodborneiThemba LABS, Johannesburg, 514 Empire Rd, Johannesburg 2193, South Africa.
Blair O WolfUNM Biology Department, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM 87131, U.S.A.
Anaïs PessatoCentre for Integrative Ecology, School of Life & Environmental Sciences, Deakin University, 75 Pigdons Road, Waurn Ponds VIC 3216, Australia.
Mylene M MarietteCentre for Integrative Ecology, School of Life & Environmental Sciences, Deakin University, 75 Pigdons Road, Waurn Ponds VIC 3216, Australia.
Andrew E McKechnieSouth African Research Chair in Conservation Physiology, South African National Biodiversity Institute, 2 Cussonia Ave, Brummeria, Pretoria 0184, South Africa.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Intense heat waves are occurring more frequently, with concomitant increases in the risk of catastrophic avian mortality events via lethal dehydration or hyperthermia. We quantified the risks of lethal hyperthermia and dehydration for 10 Australian arid-zone avifauna species during the 21st century, by synthesizing thermal physiology data on evaporative water losses and heat tolerance limits. We evaluated risks of lethal hyperthermia or exceedance of dehydration tolerance limits in the absence of drinking during the hottest part of the day under recent climatic conditions, compared to those predicted for the end of this century across Australia. Increases in mortality risk via lethal dehydration and hyperthermia vary among the species modelled here but will generally increase greatly, particularly in smaller species (~10-42 g) and those inhabiting the far western parts of the continent. By 2100 CE, zebra finches' potential exposure to acute lethal dehydration risk will reach ~ 100 d y

Indexed as

Avian mortalitydehydrationdesertheat waveshyperthermiapopulation declines

Identifiers

PMID32523698
PMCPMC7271765

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.