ArticleInternational journal of biometeorology2020
The potential impact of future climate on the distribution of European yew (Taxus baccata L.) in the Hyrcanian Forest region (Iran).
Article in International journal of biometeorology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
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9 citing papers in PubMed.
- Genomic Signatures of Climate-Driven (Mal)Adaptation in an Iconic Conifer, the English Yew (Evolutionary applications · 2025Article
- Advancements in ecological niche models for forest adaptation to climate change: a comprehensive review.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2025Review
- Future of Three Endemic Woody Species ofEcology and evolution · 2025Article
- Effect of climate change on the habitat suitability of the relict species Zelkova carpinifolia Spach using ensembled species distribution modelling.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- The potential range of west Asian apple species Malus orientalis Uglitzk. under climate change.BMC plant biology · 2024Article
- Potential distribution of Biscogniauxia mediterranea and Obolarina persica causal agents of oak charcoal disease in Iran's Zagros forests.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- The influence of climate and population density on Buxus hyrcana potential distribution and habitat connectivity.Journal of plant research · 2023Article
- The influence of climate change on the suitable habitats of Allium species endemic to Iran.Environmental monitoring and assessment · 2022Article
- Chemical compositions and biological activities of the oils from the genusTurkish journal of chemistry · 2022Review
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6 authors.
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Abstract
The Hyrcanian Forest region is rich in relict species, and endemic and endangered species. Although there are concerns about climate change, its influence on tree species in the Hyrcanian forests in the north of Iran is still unidentified. Taxus baccata is among the few conifer species found in the region, and the present study aims to evaluate the potential impact of climate change on the distribution of T. baccata. For this purpose, we used ensemble species distribution modeling with ten algorithms and based on two geographic extents (global and regional) and climate data for different climate change scenarios. For the regional extent, we calibrated the models in Hyrcanian forests including the three provinces in the north of Iran. For the global extent, we calibrated the models on the whole range distribution of T. baccata. In both cases, we applied the models to predict the distribution of T. baccata in northern Iran under current, 2050, and 2070 climates. In regional extent modeling, precipitation of coldest quarter and in global extent modeling temperature seasonality emerged as the most important variables. Present environmental suitability estimates indicated that the suitable area for T. baccata in Hyrcanian forests is 5.89 × 10
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