Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32518107›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2020

Stabilization of extensive fine-scale diversity by ecologically driven spatiotemporal chaos.

Michael T Pearce, Atish Agarwala, Daniel S Fisher

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 41 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
41citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

41 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  8. A minimal model of panimmunity maintenance by horizontal gene transfer in the ecological dynamics of bacteria and phages.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Trait-space patterning is dictated by the tempo and mode of mutation.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  11. Review
  12. Turbulent mixing controls fixation of growing antagonistic populations.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Landscape and environmental heterogeneity support coexistence in competitive metacommunities.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Chaotic turnover of rare and abundant species in a strongly interacting model community.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Michael T PearceDepartment of Physics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305.
Atish AgarwalaDepartment of Physics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305.
Daniel S FisherDepartment of Applied Physics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305 dsfisher@stanford.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-5559-2491

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

It has recently become apparent that the diversity of microbial life extends far below the species level to the finest scales of genetic differences. Remarkably, extensive fine-scale diversity can coexist spatially. How is this diversity stable on long timescales, despite selective or ecological differences and other evolutionary processes? Most work has focused on stable coexistence or assumed ecological neutrality. We present an alternative: extensive diversity maintained by ecologically driven spatiotemporal chaos, with no assumptions about niches or other specialist differences between strains. We study generalized Lotka-Volterra models with antisymmetric correlations in the interactions inspired by multiple pathogen strains infecting multiple host strains. Generally, these exhibit chaos with increasingly wild population fluctuations driving extinctions. But the simplest spatial structure, many identical islands with migration between them, stabilizes a diverse chaotic state. Some strains (subspecies) go globally extinct, but many persist for times exponentially long in the number of islands. All persistent strains have episodic local blooms to high abundance, crucial for their persistence as, for many, their average population growth rate is negative. Snapshots of the abundance distribution show a power law at intermediate abundances that is essentially indistinguishable from the neutral theory of ecology. But the dynamics of the large populations are much faster than birth-death fluctuations. We argue that this spatiotemporally chaotic "phase" should exist in a wide range of models, and that even in rapidly mixed systems, longer-lived spores could similarly stabilize a diverse chaotic phase.

Indexed as

Bacterial Physiological PhenomenaBiodiversityBiological EvolutionModels, BiologicalSpatio-Temporal AnalysisSpores, Bacterialchaosdiversityecologyspatiotemporal

Identifiers

PMID32518107
PMCPMC7322069

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.