Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32499390›Full record

ArticleGut2021

Prediction model of bleeding after endoscopic submucosal dissection for early gastric cancer: BEST-J score.

Waku Hatta, Yosuke Tsuji, Toshiyuki Yoshio, Naomi Kakushima, Shu Hoteya, Hisashi Doyama, Yasuaki Nagami, Takuto Hikichi, Masakuni Kobayashi, Yoshinori Morita and 28 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Gut, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 99 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
99citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
9.5field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

99 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 152 citations in OpenAlex.

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  9. A preoperative risk-scoring model for predicting intraoperative hemorrhage during endoscopic submucosal dissection for gastric neoplasms.Gastric cancer : official journal of the International Gastric Cancer Association and the Japanese Gastric Cancer Association · 2026
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39 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

38 authors at 20 institutions in 1 country.

Waku HattaDivision of Gastroenterology, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-9717-0281
Yosuke TsujiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Toshiyuki YoshioDepartment of Gastroenterology, Cancer Institute Hospital, Japanese Foundation for Cancer Research, Tokyo, Japan.
Naomi KakushimaDivision of Endoscopy, Shizuoka Cancer Centre, Shizuoka, Japan.
Shu HoteyaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Toranomon Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.
Hisashi DoyamaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Ishikawa Prefectural Central Hospital, Kanazawa, Japan.
Yasuaki NagamiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Osaka City University Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka, Japan.
Takuto HikichiDepartment of Endoscopy, Fukushima Medical University Hospital, Fukushima, Japan.
Masakuni KobayashiDepartment of Endoscopy, The Jikei University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
Yoshinori MoritaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Kobe University Graduate School of Medicine, Kobe, Japan.
Tetsuya SumiyoshiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Tonan Hospital, Sapporo, Japan.
Mikitaka IguchiDepartment of Internal Medicine, Wakayama Medical University, Wakayama, Japan.
Hideomi TomidaDepartment of Gastroenterology and Metabology, Ehime University Graduate School of Medicine, Toon, Japan.
Takuya InoueDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Osaka General Medical Centre, Osaka, Japan.
Tomoyuki KoikeDivision of Gastroenterology, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan.
Tatsuya MikamiDivision of Endoscopy, Hirosaki University Hospital, Hirosaki, Japan.
Kenkei HasataniDepartment of Gastroenterology, Fukui Prefectural Hospital, Fukui, Japan.
Jun NishikawaFaculty of Laboratory Science, Yamaguchi University Graduate School of Medicine, Ube, Japan.
Tomoaki MatsumuraDepartment of Gastroenterology, Chiba University Graduate School of Medicine, Chiba, Japan.
Hiroko NebikiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Osaka City General Hospital, Osaka, Japan.
Dai NakamatsuDepartment of Gastroenterology, Toyonaka Municipal Hospital, Toyonaka, Japan.
Ken OhnitaDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Nagasaki University Hospital, Nagasaki, Japan.
Haruhisa SuzukiEndoscopy Division, National Cancer Centre Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.
Hiroya UeyamaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Juntendo University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
Yoshito HayashiDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine, Suita, Japan.
Mitsushige SugimotoDivision of Digestive Endoscopy, Shiga University of Medical Science Hospital, Otsu, Japan.
Shinjiro YamaguchiDivision of Gastroenterology, Kansai Rosai Hospital, Amagasaki, Japan.
Tomoki MichidaDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Saitama Medical Centre, Saitama, Japan.
Tomoyuki YadaDivision of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Kohnodai Hospital, National Centre for Global Health and Medicine, Ichikawa, Japan.
Yoshiro AsahinaDivision of Gastroenterology, Kanazawa University Hospital, Kanazawa, Japan.
Toshiaki NarasakaDepartment of Gastroenterology, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan.
Shiko KuribasyashiDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Gunma University Graduate School of Medicine, Maebashi, Japan.
Shu KiyotokiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Shuto General Hospital, Yanai, Japan.
Katsuhiro MabeDepartment of Gastroenterology, National Hospital Organization Hakodate National Hospital, Hakodate, Japan.
Tomohiro NakamuraDepartment of Health Record Informatics, Tohoku Medical Megabank Organization, Sendai, Japan.
Naoki NakayaDepartment of Health Sciences, Saitama Prefectural University, Koshigaya, Japan.
Mitsuhiro FujishiroDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine, Nagoya, Japan mtfujish@gmail.com.
Atsushi MasamuneDivision of Gastroenterology, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-7184-7282
Tohoku University · JPOsaka City General Hospital · JPChiba University · JPEhime University · JPFukui Prefectural Hospital · JPFukushima Medical University Hospital · JPGunma University · JPHirosaki University Hospital · JPIshikawa Prefectural Central Hospital · JPJapanese Foundation For Cancer Research · JPJikei University School of Medicine · JPJuntendo University · JPKanazawa University Hospital · JPKansai Rosai Hospital · JPKobe University · JPNagasaki University Hospital · JPNagoya University · JPNational Cancer Centre Japan · JPNational Center for Global Health and Medicine · JPNational Hospital Organization · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveBleeding after endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for early gastric cancer (EGC) is a frequent adverse event after ESD. We aimed to develop and externally validate a clinically useful prediction model (BEST-J score: Bleeding after ESD Trend from Japan) for bleeding after ESD for EGC.

designThis retrospective study enrolled patients who underwent ESD for EGC. Patients in the derivation cohort (n=8291) were recruited from 25 institutions, and patients in the external validation cohort (n=2029) were recruited from eight institutions in other areas. In the derivation cohort, weighted points were assigned to predictors of bleeding determined in the multivariate logistic regression analysis and a prediction model was established. External validation of the model was conducted to analyse discrimination and calibration.

resultsA prediction model comprised 10 variables (warfarin, direct oral anticoagulant, chronic kidney disease with haemodialysis, P2Y12 receptor antagonist, aspirin, cilostazol, tumour size >30 mm, lower-third in tumour location, presence of multiple tumours and interruption of each kind of antithrombotic agents). The rates of bleeding after ESD at low-risk (0 to 1 points), intermediate-risk (2 points), high-risk (3 to 4 points) and very high-risk (≥5 points) were 2.8%, 6.1%, 11.4% and 29.7%, respectively. In the external validation cohort, the model showed moderately good discrimination, with a

conclusionsIn this nationwide multicentre study, we derived and externally validated a prediction model for bleeding after ESD. This model may be a good clinical decision-making support tool for ESD in patients with EGC.

Indexed as

Endoscopic Mucosal ResectionAgedAnticoagulantsFemaleGastrointestinal HemorrhageHumansJapanMalePostoperative ComplicationsPredictive Value of TestsPurinergic P2Y Receptor AntagonistsRenal DialysisRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsStomach NeoplasmsTumor BurdenAnticoagulantsPurinergic P2Y Receptor Antagonistsbleedingendoscopygastric cancer

Identifiers

PMID32499390
PMCPMC7873424
OpenAlexW3032934405

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.