ArticleNature communications2020
The impact of climate and antigenic evolution on seasonal influenza virus epidemics in Australia.
Article in Nature communications, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
28 citing papers in PubMed, 56 citations in OpenAlex.
- Influenza vaccine protection and contact patterns among outpatients with influenza-like illness during the 2024-2025 season in China: a test-negative case-control study.Journal of global health · 2026Article
- The Role of Wildlife and Climate Change in the Emergence of One Health-Related Viral Diseases in Australia.Viruses · 2026Review
- Climatic Influence on COVID-19: Investigating the Role of Temperature and Humidity in the Spread of the Omicron Variant.GeoHealth · 2026Article
- Histone Demethylase JMJD2D Suppresses Influenza A Virus Infection by Promoting RIG-I Expression.Biomolecules · 2026Article
- Unraveling the mechanism behind the probable extinction of the B/Yamagata lineage of influenza B viruses.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Association between short-term exposure to ambient ozone concentration and influenza incidence in Kawasaki City, Japan: a time-stratified case-crossover analysis.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Spatiotemporal patterns of influenza in Western Australia.Public health in practice (Oxford, England) · 2025Article
- Competition between transmission lineages mediated by human mobility shapes seasonal influenza epidemics in the US.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Epidemiological characteristics of RSV in pediatric inpatients with lower respiratory tract infections in Suzhou and their correlation with meteorology and atmospheric pollutants.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- A comparative analysis of influenza and COVID-19: Environmental-ecological impacts, socioeconomic implications, and future challenges.Biosafety and health · 2024Review
- Measures of Population Immunity Can Predict the Dominant Clade of Influenza A (H3N2) in the 2017-2018 Season and Reveal Age-Associated Differences in Susceptibility and Antibody-Binding Specificity.Influenza and other respiratory viruses · 2024Article
- Measures of population immunity can predict the dominant clade of influenza A (H3N2) in the 2017-2018 season and reveal age-associated differences in susceptibility and antibody-binding specificity.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2024Article
- Study of the driving factors of the abnormal influenza A (H3N2) epidemic in 2022 and early predictions in Xiamen, China.BMC infectious diseases · 2024Article
- Antigenic drift and subtype interference shape A(H3N2) epidemic dynamics in the United States.eLife · 2024Article
- Commuting-driven competition between transmission chains shapes seasonal influenza virus epidemics in the United States.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2024Article
- Antigenic drift and subtype interference shape A(H3N2) epidemic dynamics in the United States.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2024Article
- Ozone as an environmental driver of influenza.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Intensity and drivers of subtypes interference between seasonal influenza viruses in mainland China: A modeling study.iScience · 2024Article
- Determinants of epidemic size and the impacts of lulls in seasonal influenza virus circulation.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Characterization of serum metabolome and respiratory microbiota in children with influenza A virus infection.Frontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors at 5 institutions in 4 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Although seasonal influenza viruses circulate globally, prevention and treatment occur at the level of regions, cities, and communities. At these scales, the timing, duration and magnitude of epidemics vary substantially, but the underlying causes of this variation are poorly understood. Here, based on analyses of a 15-year city-level dataset of 18,250 laboratory-confirmed and antigenically-characterised influenza virus infections from Australia, we investigate the effects of previously hypothesised environmental and virological drivers of influenza epidemics. We find that anomalous fluctuations in temperature and humidity do not predict local epidemic onset timings. We also find that virus antigenic change has no consistent effect on epidemic size. In contrast, epidemic onset time and heterosubtypic competition have substantial effects on epidemic size and composition. Our findings suggest that the relationship between influenza population immunity and epidemiology is more complex than previously supposed and that the strong influence of short-term processes may hinder long-term epidemiological forecasts.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.