Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32487166›Full record

ArticleBMC veterinary research2020

Spatiotemporal analyses of foot and mouth disease outbreaks in cattle farms in Chiang Mai and Lamphun, Thailand.

Orapun Arjkumpa, Chalutwan Sansamur, Pakdee Sutthipankul, Chaidate Inchaisri, Kannika Na Lampang, Arisara Charoenpanyanet, Veerasak Punyapornwithaya

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC veterinary research, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Orapun ArjkumpaFaculty of Veterinary Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand.
Chalutwan SansamurFaculty of Veterinary Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand.
Pakdee SutthipankulLamphun Provincial Livestock Office, Lamphun, Thailand.
Chaidate InchaisriVeterinary Epidemiology and Economics Group, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Kannika Na LampangFaculty of Veterinary Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand.
Arisara CharoenpanyanetFaculty of Geography, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand.
Veerasak PunyapornwithayaVeterinary Public Health Centre for Asia Pacific and Excellent Center for Veterinary Public Health, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand. veerasak.p@cmu.ac.th.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9870-7773

Funding

Agricultural Research Development Agency 5905021280
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundFoot and mouth disease (FMD) is a highly infectious and contagious febrile vesicular disease of cloven-hoofed livestock with high socio-economic consequences globally. In Thailand, FMD is endemic with 183 and 262 outbreaks occurring in the years 2015 and 2016, respectively. In this study, we aimed to assess the spatiotemporal distribution of FMD outbreaks among cattle in Chiang Mai and Lamphun provinces in the northern part of Thailand during the period of 2015-2016. A retrospective space-time scan statistic including a space-time permutation (STP) and the Poisson and Bernoulli models were applied in order to detect areas of high incidence of FMD.

resultsResults have shown that 9 and 8 clusters were identified by the STP model in 2015 and 2016, respectively, whereas 1 and 3 clusters were identified by the Poisson model, and 3 and 4 clusters were detected when the Bernoulli model was applied for the same time period. In 2015, the most likely clusters were observed in Chiang Mai and these had a minimum radius of 1.49 km and a maximum radius of 20 km. Outbreaks were clustered in the period between the months of May and October of 2015. The most likely clusters in 2016 were observed in central Lamphun based on the STP model and in the eastern area of Chiang Mai by the Poisson and Bernoulli models. The cluster size of the STP model (8.51 km) was smaller than those of the Poisson and Bernoulli models (> 20 km). The cluster periods in 2016 were approximately 7 months, while 4 months and 1 month were identified by the Poisson, Bernoulli and STP models respectively.

conclusionsThe application of three models provided more information for FMD outbreak epidemiology. The findings from this study suggest the use of three different space-time scan models for the investigation process of outbreaks along with the follow-up process to identify FMD outbreak clusters. Therefore, active prevention and control strategies should be implemented in the areas that are most susceptible to FMD outbreaks.

Indexed as

AnimalsCattleCattle DiseasesDisease OutbreaksFoot-and-Mouth DiseaseFoot-and-Mouth Disease VirusModels, StatisticalRetrospective StudiesSeasonsSpatio-Temporal AnalysisThailandCattleFMDModelNorthern ThailandSpatiotemporal cluster

Identifiers

PMID32487166
PMCPMC7268379

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.