Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32485607›Full record

ArticleBreast (Edinburgh, Scotland)2020

Clinical utility of tumour marker velocity of cancer antigen 15-3 (CA 15-3) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) in breast cancer surveillance.

J X Hing, C W Mok, P T Tan, S S Sudhakar, C M Seah, W P Lee, S M Tan

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Breast (Edinburgh, Scotland), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.3field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 90 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
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  13. Low-Invasive Biomarkers of Canine Mammary Tumours.Veterinary medicine and science · 2025
    Review
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  18. Review
  19. Increased blood CSF3RAmerican journal of cancer research · 2024
    Article
  20. Exploring the Prognostic Value of CS15-3 Tumor Marker in Breast Cancer Recurrence.Asian Pacific journal of cancer prevention : APJCP · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

J X HingDivision of Breast Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Changi General Hospital, Singapore; SingHealth Duke-NUS Breast Centre, Singapore. Electronic address: hing.jun.xian@singhealth.com.sg.
C W MokDivision of Breast Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Changi General Hospital, Singapore; SingHealth Duke-NUS Breast Centre, Singapore.
P T TanClinical Trials and Research Unit, Changi General Hospital, Singapore.
S S SudhakarDivision of Breast Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Changi General Hospital, Singapore.
C M SeahDivision of Breast Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Changi General Hospital, Singapore.
W P LeeDivision of Breast Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Changi General Hospital, Singapore; SingHealth Duke-NUS Breast Centre, Singapore.
S M TanDivision of Breast Surgery, Department of General Surgery, Changi General Hospital, Singapore; SingHealth Duke-NUS Breast Centre, Singapore.
Changi General Hospital · SGSingHealth Duke-NUS Academic Medical Centre · SG

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSerum tumour markers, cancer antigen 15-3 (CA 15-3) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) are not routinely recommended for detecting breast cancer recurrence and monitoring treatment. In this study, we aim to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of absolute CA 15-3 and CEA levels and report on the clinical utility of tumour marker velocity in breast cancer surveillance.

methods67 consecutive patients over a 15-year period (1998-2012) with available serial serum CA 15-3 and CEA measurements at recurrence were matched to a control group of patients. Tumour marker velocity was derived from the average change in consecutive tumour marker values over time, expressed in unit/year. Logistic regression analysis was performed to investigate the association between tumour characteristics, tumour marker velocity and disease recurrence.

resultsUsing the Youden index values, the optimal cut-off values for absolute CA 15-3 and CEA corresponded to the normal assay reference range while tumour marker velocity values were derived to be 2.5U/mL/year and 1.2ng/mL/year respectively. CA 15-3 velocity > 2.5U/mL/year had the highest AUROC value of 0.85 than CEA velocity alone. When either tumour marker velocity exceeded threshold values, the sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value and positive predictive value were 94.0%, 73.1%, 92.5%, and 77.8% respectively. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, having both CA 15-3 and CEA velocity exceeding the cut-off values was shown to be a significant predictor for disease recurrence (p = 0.01).

conclusionThese findings highlighted the clinical utility of serial tumour markers measurements and its velocity in breast cancer surveillance.

Indexed as

AdultAgedBiomarkers, TumorBreast NeoplasmsCarcinoembryonic AntigenCase-Control StudiesFemaleHumansMiddle AgedMucin-1Neoplasm Recurrence, LocalPredictive Value of TestsROC CurveSensitivity and SpecificityBiomarkers, TumorCarcinoembryonic AntigenMucin-1

Identifiers

PMID32485607
PMCPMC7375621
OpenAlexW3028035412

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.