Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32482862›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2020

Vertebrates on the brink as indicators of biological annihilation and the sixth mass extinction.

Gerardo Ceballos, Paul R Ehrlich, Peter H Raven

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 157 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
157citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
199.1field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

157 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 887 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. The evidence base for ranger patrol effectiveness in conservation and how to improve it.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2026
    Pooled it
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  9. Data deficiency, taxonomic bias, and economic interests curtail insect and arachnid conservation in the United States.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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  10. Evolutionary applications · 2026
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97 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Gerardo CeballosInstituto de Ecología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, 04510 Ciudad de México, México; gceballo@ecologia.unam.mx.ORCID 0000-0001-8374-2656
Paul R EhrlichCenter for Conservation Biology, Department of Biology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94304.ORCID 0000-0001-8753-9292
Peter H RavenPlant Science Department, Missouri Botanical Garden, St. Louis, MO 63110.
Anna Needs Neuroblastoma Answers · USMissouri Botanical Garden · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The ongoing sixth mass species extinction is the result of the destruction of component populations leading to eventual extirpation of entire species. Populations and species extinctions have severe implications for society through the degradation of ecosystem services. Here we assess the extinction crisis from a different perspective. We examine 29,400 species of terrestrial vertebrates, and determine which are on the brink of extinction because they have fewer than 1,000 individuals. There are 515 species on the brink (1.7% of the evaluated vertebrates). Around 94% of the populations of 77 mammal and bird species on the brink have been lost in the last century. Assuming all species on the brink have similar trends, more than 237,000 populations of those species have vanished since 1900. We conclude the human-caused sixth mass extinction is likely accelerating for several reasons. First, many of the species that have been driven to the brink will likely become extinct soon. Second, the distribution of those species highly coincides with hundreds of other endangered species, surviving in regions with high human impacts, suggesting ongoing regional biodiversity collapses. Third, close ecological interactions of species on the brink tend to move other species toward annihilation when they disappear-extinction breeds extinctions. Finally, human pressures on the biosphere are growing rapidly, and a recent example is the current coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) pandemic, linked to wildlife trade. Our results reemphasize the extreme urgency of taking much-expanded worldwide actions to save wild species and humanity's crucial life-support systems from this existential threat.

Indexed as

EcosystemExtinction, BiologicalVertebratesAnimalsAnimals, WildClimate ChangeCommerceConservation of Natural ResourcesCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19Endangered SpeciesHuman ActivitiesPandemicsPneumonia, ViralPopulation Densityconservationecosystem servicesendangered speciespopulation extinctionssixth mass extinction

Identifiers

PMID32482862
PMCPMC7306750
OpenAlexW3030395860

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.