Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32472647›Full record

ArticleBJS open2020

Prognostic and predictive values of tumour budding in stage IV colorectal cancer.

K Nagata, E Shinto, M Yamadera, T Shiraishi, Y Kajiwara, K Okamoto, S Mochizuki, K Hase, Y Kishi, H Ueno

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BJS open, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 25% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Endoscopic and pathological characteristics ofWorld journal of gastroenterology · 2023
    Article
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  5. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

K NagataDepartment of Surgery, National Defence Medical College, 3-2 Namiki, Tokorozawa, 359-8513, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-6729-6040
E ShintoDepartment of Surgery, National Defence Medical College, 3-2 Namiki, Tokorozawa, 359-8513, Japan.
M YamaderaDepartment of Surgery, National Defence Medical College, 3-2 Namiki, Tokorozawa, 359-8513, Japan.
T ShiraishiDepartment of Surgery, National Defence Medical College, 3-2 Namiki, Tokorozawa, 359-8513, Japan.
Y KajiwaraDepartment of Surgery, National Defence Medical College, 3-2 Namiki, Tokorozawa, 359-8513, Japan.
K OkamotoDepartment of Surgery, National Defence Medical College, 3-2 Namiki, Tokorozawa, 359-8513, Japan.
S MochizukiDepartment of Surgery, National Defence Medical College, 3-2 Namiki, Tokorozawa, 359-8513, Japan.
K HaseDepartment of Surgery, National Defence Medical College, 3-2 Namiki, Tokorozawa, 359-8513, Japan.
Y KishiDepartment of Surgery, National Defence Medical College, 3-2 Namiki, Tokorozawa, 359-8513, Japan.
H UenoDepartment of Surgery, National Defence Medical College, 3-2 Namiki, Tokorozawa, 359-8513, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTumour budding is an important prognostic feature in early-stage colorectal cancer, but its prognostic significance in metastatic disease has not been fully investigated.

methodsPatients with stage IV disease who had primary colorectal tumour resection without previous chemotherapy or radiotherapy from January 2000 to December 2018 were reviewed retrospectively. Budding was evaluated at the primary site and graded according to the criteria of the International Tumor Budding Consensus Conference (ITBCC) (BD1, low; BD2, intermediate; BD3, high). Patients were categorized by metastatic (M1a, M1b) and resectional (R0/R1, R2/unresected) status. Subgroups were compared for overall (OS) and recurrence-free (RFS) survival in R0/R1 subgroups; R2/unresected patients were evaluated for the rate of tumour progression, based on change in tumour size from baseline.

resultsOf 371 patients observed during the study, 362 were analysed. Patients with BD3 had a lower 5-year OS rate than those with BD1 + BD2 (18·4 versus 40·5 per cent; P < 0·001). Survival analyses according to metastatic and resection status also showed that BD3 was associated with shorter OS than BD1 + BD2. In multivariable analysis, BD3 (hazard ratio (HR) 1·51, 95 per cent c.i. 1·11 to 2·10; P = 0·009), T4 status (HR 1·39) and R2/unresected status (HR 3·50) were associated with decreased OS. In the R0/R1 subgroup, the 2-year RFS rate was similar for BD3 and BD1 + BD2 according to metastatic status. There was no significant difference between BD3 and BD1 + BD2 for change in tumour size in the R2/unresected subgroup (P = 0·094). Of 141 patients with initially unresectable metastases who had chemotherapy, 35 achieved conversion from unresectable to resectable status. The conversion rate was significantly higher for BD1 + BD2 than for BD3 (36 versus 18 per cent; P = 0·016).

conclusionStage IV colorectal cancer with high-grade tumour budding according to ITBCC criteria correlates with poor prognosis.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overColorectal NeoplasmsFemaleHumansJapanMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm StagingPrognosisRetrospective StudiesSurvival Analysis

Identifiers

PMID32472647
PMCPMC7397347
OpenAlexW3031227789

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.