Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32469448›Full record

ArticleHuman brain mapping2020

Predicting individual improvement in schizophrenia symptom severity at 1-year follow-up: Comparison of connectomic, structural, and clinical predictors.

Akhil Kottaram, Leigh A Johnston, Ye Tian, Eleni P Ganella, Liliana Laskaris, Luca Cocchi, Patrick McGorry, Christos Pantelis, Ramamohanarao Kotagiri, Vanessa Cropley and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Human brain mapping, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Frontal lobe fALFF measured from resting-state fMRI as a prognostic biomarker in first-episode psychosis.Neuropsychopharmacology : official publication of the American College of Neuropsychopharmacology · 2022
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Akhil KottaramDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-2446-2704
Leigh A JohnstonDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Ye TianMelbourne Neuropsychiatry Centre, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Eleni P GanellaMelbourne Neuropsychiatry Centre, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Liliana LaskarisMelbourne Neuropsychiatry Centre, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Luca CocchiClinical Brain Networks Group, QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-3651-2676
Patrick McGorryOrygen, Parkville, Victoria, Australia.
Christos PantelisMelbourne Neuropsychiatry Centre, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Ramamohanarao KotagiriDepartment of Computing and Information Systems, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Vanessa CropleyMelbourne Neuropsychiatry Centre, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Andrew ZaleskyDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.

Funding

Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) 1065742NHMRC 1105825NHMRC 628386NHMRC 628880NHMRC APP1099082NHMRC APP1136649NHMRC APP1138711University of Melbourne Early Career Researcher 601253
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In a machine learning setting, this study aims to compare the prognostic utility of connectomic, brain structural, and clinical/demographic predictors of individual change in symptom severity in individuals with schizophrenia. Symptom severity at baseline and 1-year follow-up was assessed in 30 individuals with a schizophrenia-spectrum disorder using the Brief Psychiatric Rating Scale. Structural and functional neuroimaging was acquired in all individuals at baseline. Machine learning classifiers were trained to predict whether individuals improved or worsened with respect to positive, negative, and overall symptom severity. Classifiers were trained using various combinations of predictors, including regional cortical thickness and gray matter volume, static and dynamic resting-state connectivity, and/or baseline clinical and demographic variables. Relative change in overall symptom severity between baseline and 1-year follow-up varied markedly among individuals (interquartile range: 55%). Dynamic resting-state connectivity measured within the default-mode network was the most accurate single predictor of change in positive (accuracy: 87%), negative (83%), and overall symptom severity (77%) at follow-up. Incorporating predictors based on regional cortical thickness, gray matter volume, and baseline clinical variables did not markedly improve prediction accuracy and the prognostic utility of these predictors in isolation was moderate (<70%). Worsening negative symptoms at 1-year follow-up were predicted by hyper-connectivity and hypo-dynamism within the default-mode network at baseline assessment, while hypo-connectivity and hyper-dynamism predicted worsening positive symptoms. Given the modest sample size investigated, we recommend giving precedence to the relative ranking of the predictors investigated in this study, rather than the prediction accuracy estimates.

Indexed as

Machine LearningAdultAntipsychotic AgentsCerebral CortexConnectomeDefault Mode NetworkFemaleFollow-Up StudiesGray MatterHumansMagnetic Resonance ImagingMaleNeuroimagingPrognosisSchizophreniaSensitivity and SpecificityAntipsychotic Agentsdefault mode networkdynamic functional connectivityoutcome predictionschizophreniasymptoms

Identifiers

PMID32469448
PMCPMC7375115

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.