Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32460165›Full record

ArticleEBioMedicine2020

Aneuploidy in targeted endoscopic biopsies outperforms other tissue biomarkers in the prediction of histologic progression of Barrett's oesophagus: A multi-centre prospective cohort study.

Andreas V Hadjinicolaou, Sanne N van Munster, Achilleas Achilleos, Jose Santiago Garcia, Sarah Killcoyne, Krish Ragunath, Jacques J G H M Bergman, Rebecca C Fitzgerald, Massimiliano di Pietro

Open access · goldAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in EBioMedicine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
4.1field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 26 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Diagnostic and Prognostic Biomarkers for Barrett's Esophagus.Gastroenterology clinics of North America · 2026
    Review
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Effects of aneuploidy on cell behaviour and function.Nature reviews. Molecular cell biology · 2022
    Review
  11. Review
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Review
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Andreas V HadjinicolaouMRC Cancer Unit, University of Cambridge, Hutchison/MRC Research Centre, Box 197, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge CB2 0XZ, United Kingdom.
Sanne N van MunsterDepartment of Gastroenterology, Amsterdam University Medical Centre, Meibergdreef 9, 1105 AZ, Amsterdam 22660, the Netherlands.
Achilleas AchilleosMRC Cancer Unit, University of Cambridge, Hutchison/MRC Research Centre, Box 197, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge CB2 0XZ, United Kingdom.
Jose Santiago GarciaNottingham Digestive Diseases Biomedical Research Centre, Queens Medical Centre Campus, E Floor, West Block, Derby Road, Nottingham NG7 2UH, United Kingdom.
Sarah KillcoyneMRC Cancer Unit, University of Cambridge, Hutchison/MRC Research Centre, Box 197, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge CB2 0XZ, United Kingdom; European Molecular Biology Laboratory, European Bioinformatics Institute (EMBL-EBI), Hinxton CB10 1SD, United Kingdom.
Krish RagunathNottingham Digestive Diseases Biomedical Research Centre, Queens Medical Centre Campus, E Floor, West Block, Derby Road, Nottingham NG7 2UH, United Kingdom.
Jacques J G H M BergmanDepartment of Gastroenterology, Amsterdam University Medical Centre, Meibergdreef 9, 1105 AZ, Amsterdam 22660, the Netherlands.
Rebecca C FitzgeraldMRC Cancer Unit, University of Cambridge, Hutchison/MRC Research Centre, Box 197, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge CB2 0XZ, United Kingdom.
Massimiliano di PietroMRC Cancer Unit, University of Cambridge, Hutchison/MRC Research Centre, Box 197, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge CB2 0XZ, United Kingdom. Electronic address: md460@mrc-cu.cam.ac.uk.
University of Cambridge · GBNIHR Nottingham Digestive Diseases Biomedical Research Unit · GBUniversity of Amsterdam · NLEuropean Bioinformatics Institute · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_UU_12022/2
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe cancer risk in Barrett's oesophagus (BO) is difficult to estimate. Histologic dysplasia has strong predictive power, but can be missed by random biopsies. Other clinical parameters have limited utility for risk stratification. We aimed to assess whether a molecular biomarker panel on targeted biopsies can predict neoplastic progression of BO.

methods203 patients with BO were tested at index endoscopy for 9 biomarkers (p53 and cyclin A expression; aneuploidy and tetraploidy; CDKN2A (p16), RUNX3 and HPP1 hypermethylation; 9p and 17p loss of heterozygosity) on autofluorescence-targeted biopsies and followed-up prospectively. Data comparing progressors to non-progressors were evaluated by univariate and multivariate analyses using survival curves, Cox-proportional hazards and logistic regression models.

findings127 patients without high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or oesophageal adenocarcinoma (OAC) at index endoscopy were included, of which 42 had evidence of any histologic progression over time. Aneuploidy was the only predictor of progression from non-dysplastic BO (NDBO) to any grade of neoplasia (p = 0.013) and HGD/OAC (p = 0.002). Aberrant p53 expression correlated with risk of short-term progression within 12 months, with an odds ratio of 6.0 (95% CI: 3.1-11.2). A panel comprising aneuploidy and p53 had an area under the receiving operator characteristics curve of 0.68 (95% CI: 0.59-0.77) for prediction of any progression.

interpretationAneuploidy is the only biomarker that predicts neoplastic progression of NDBO. Aberrant p53 expression suggests prevalent dysplasia, which might have been missed by random biopsies, and warrants early follow up.

Indexed as

AneuploidyGenetic MarkersAdenocarcinomaAgedAged, 80 and overBarrett EsophagusCore Binding Factor Alpha 3 SubunitCyclin ACyclin-Dependent Kinase Inhibitor p16Disease ProgressionEndoscopyEsophageal NeoplasmsFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsMaleCDKN2A protein, humanCore Binding Factor Alpha 3 SubunitCyclin ACyclin-Dependent Kinase Inhibitor p16Genetic MarkersMembrane ProteinsNeoplasm ProteinsRunx3 protein, humanTMEFF2 protein, humanTP53 protein, humanTumor Suppressor Protein p53Barrett's oesophagusBiomarkersDysplasiaHistologic progressionOesophageal adenocarcinoma

Identifiers

PMID32460165
PMCPMC7251385
OpenAlexW3026676275

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.