ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2020
Using Cure Models to Estimate the Serial Interval of Tuberculosis With Limited Follow-up.
Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed.
- Generation time in a discrete epidemic model with asymptomatic carriers: beyond geometric waiting times.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2027Article
- Transmission patterns of pertussis in school-based clustered outbreaks: A retrospective analysis in Zhejiang Province, China, 2024.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2026Article
- Potential health impacts and costs of active case finding guided by Mycobacterium tuberculosis immunoreactivity survey results in Blantyre, Malawi: A mathematical modeling study.PLoS medicine · 2026Article
- Nonparametric serial interval estimation with uniform mixtures.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Effective Reproduction Number of Smear-Positive Pulmonary Tuberculosis in Iran: A Registry-Based Study (2011-2021).Journal of research in health sciences · 2024Article
- Bayesian estimation of the time-varying reproduction number for pulmonary tuberculosis in Iran: A registry-based study from 2018 to 2022 using new smear-positive cases.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2024Article
- Patterns of TB transmission in the United States, 2011-2017.The international journal of tuberculosis and lung disease : the official journal of the International Union against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease · 2024Article
- Estimation of local time-varying reproduction numbers in noisy surveillance data.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2022Article
- Estimation of the generation interval using pairwise relative transmission probabilities.Biostatistics (Oxford, England) · 2022Article
- Estimation of local time-varying reproduction numbers in noisy surveillance data.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2022Article
- Statistical Estimation of the Reproductive Number From Case Notification Data.American journal of epidemiology · 2021Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Serial interval (SI), defined as the time between symptom onset in an infector and infectee pair, is commonly used to understand infectious diseases transmission. Slow progression to active disease, as well as the small percentage of individuals who will eventually develop active disease, complicate the estimation of the SI for tuberculosis (TB). In this paper, we showed via simulation studies that when there is credible information on the percentage of those who will develop TB disease following infection, a cure model, first introduced by Boag in 1949, should be used to estimate the SI for TB. This model includes a parameter in the likelihood function to account for the study population being composed of those who will have the event of interest and those who will never have the event. We estimated the SI for TB to be approximately 0.5 years for the United States and Canada (January 2002 to December 2006) and approximately 2.0 years for Brazil (March 2008 to June 2012), which might imply a higher occurrence of reinfection TB in a developing country like Brazil.
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