Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32455144›Full record

ArticleOpen forum infectious diseases2017

Can Use of Viral Load Improve Norovirus Clinical Diagnosis and Disease Attribution?

Kayoko Shioda, Leslie Barclay, Sylvia Becker-Dreps, Filemon Bucardo-Rivera, Philip J Cooper, Daniel C Payne, Jan Vinjé, Benjamin A Lopman

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Open forum infectious diseases, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Birth Cohort Studies Assessing Norovirus Infection and Immunity in Young Children: A Review.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2019
    Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Symptomatic and Asymptomatic Norovirus Infections in Early Life; the PREVAIL Cohort, 2017-2020.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2026
    Article
  5. Epidemiology of Norovirus Outbreaks in Kindergartens, Primary Schools, and Junior High Schools in Xi'an, China, From October 2020 to February 2023.Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research · 2025
    Article
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  10. Article
  11. Characteristics of GII.4 Norovirus Versus Other Genotypes in Sporadic Pediatric Infections in Davidson County, Tennessee, USA.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2021
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. The Changing Landscape of Pediatric Viral Enteropathogens in the Post-Rotavirus Vaccine Era.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Kayoko ShiodaDivision of Viral Diseases, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Leslie BarclayDivision of Viral Diseases, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Sylvia Becker-DrepsSchool of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Filemon Bucardo-RiveraDepartment of Microbiology, National Autonomous University of León, Nicaragua.
Philip J CooperFacultad de Ciencias Médicas, de la Salud y de la Vida, Universidad Internacional del Ecuador Quito; Institute of Infection and Immunity, St George's University of London, United Kingdom.
Daniel C PayneDivision of Viral Diseases, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Jan VinjéDivision of Viral Diseases, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Benjamin A LopmanDivision of Viral Diseases, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.

Funding

Preliminary Effectiveness Analysis of Universal Rotavirus Immunization, NicaraguaK01TW008401 · FIC · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI BECKER-DREPS, SYLVIA IRENE · 2009 to 2012
$507k
FIC NIH HHS K01 TW008401Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundReal-time reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) is the state-of-the-art diagnostic for norovirus. Cycle threshold (Ct), an indicator of viral load, may be associated with symptomatic disease as well as demographic and outbreak characteristics.

methodsData on (1) outbreak and sporadic cases and (2) asymptomatic controls in the United States and Latin America were analyzed. With multivariate regression models, we assessed relationships between various factors and Ct values, and we calculated odds ratios (ORs) for the presence of symptoms and attributable fractions of norovirus. Receiver-operating characteristic analysis was performed to define an optimal Ct cutoff to identify disease-causing infections.

resultsCycle threshold values were lower (ie, higher viral loads) among symptomatic cases (model-adjusted mean ± standard error: 25.3 ± 1.2) compared with asymptomatic controls (28.5 ± 1.4). Cycle threshold values were significantly different across age groups, norovirus genogroups, timing of specimen collection, outbreak settings, and transmission modes. Genogroup II (GII) Ct values were associated with presence of symptoms (OR = 1.1), allowing us to estimate that 16% of diarrheal disease was attributable to norovirus. The optimized Ct cutoff led to poor sensitivity and specificity for genogroup I and GII.

conclusionsCycle threshold values were associated with host, pathogen, and outbreak factors. Cycle threshold values may not effectively distinguish disease-causing infection for individual patients, but they are useful for epidemiological studies aiming to attribute disease.

Indexed as

attributable fractionscycle thresholdnorovirusreal-time PCRreceiver-operating characteristic analysis

Identifiers

PMID32455144
PMCPMC7236086

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.