Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32453803›Full record

SynthesisPloS one2020

Systematic review of prediction models in relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis.

Fraser S Brown, Stella A Glasmacher, Patrick K A Kearns, Niall MacDougall, David Hunt, Peter Connick, Siddharthan Chandran

Open access · goldAbstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.5field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 47 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Observational
  17. Article
  18. Predictive MRI Biomarkers in MS-A Critical Review.Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania) · 2022
    Review
  19. Review
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Fraser S BrownAnne Rowling Regenerative Neurology Clinic, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-8314-4936
Stella A GlasmacherAnne Rowling Regenerative Neurology Clinic, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Patrick K A KearnsAnne Rowling Regenerative Neurology Clinic, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Niall MacDougallInstitute of Neurological Sciences, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
David HuntAnne Rowling Regenerative Neurology Clinic, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Peter ConnickAnne Rowling Regenerative Neurology Clinic, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Siddharthan ChandranAnne Rowling Regenerative Neurology Clinic, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
MRC Centre for Regenerative Medicine · GBUniversity of Glasgow · GB

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The natural history of relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) is variable and prediction of individual prognosis challenging. The inability to reliably predict prognosis at diagnosis has important implications for informed decision making especially in relation to disease modifying therapies. We conducted a systematic review in order to collate, describe and assess the methodological quality of published prediction models in RRMS. We searched Medline, Embase and Web of Science. Two reviewers independently screened abstracts and full text for eligibility and assessed risk of bias. Studies reporting development or validation of prediction models for RRMS in adults were included. Data collection was guided by the checklist for critical appraisal and data extraction for systematic reviews (CHARMS) and applicability and methodological quality assessment by the prediction model risk of bias assessment tool (PROBAST). 30 studies were included in the review. Applicability was assessed as high risk of concern in 27 studies. Risk of bias was assessed as high for all studies. The single most frequently included predictor was baseline EDSS (n = 11). T2 Lesion volume or number and brain atrophy were each retained in seven studies. Five studies included external validation and none included impact analysis. Although a number of prediction models for RRMS have been reported, most are at high risk of bias and lack external validation and impact analysis, restricting their application to routine clinical practice.

Indexed as

PrognosisDecision MakingDisease ProgressionHumansMultiple SclerosisMultiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting

Identifiers

PMID32453803
PMCPMC7250448
OpenAlexW3032456454

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.