ArticleEnvironmental health perspectives2020
Daily Temperature and Bacillary Dysentery: Estimated Effects, Attributable Risks, and Future Disease Burden in 316 Chinese Cities.
Article in Environmental health perspectives, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 7 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
21 citing papers in PubMed, 7 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Impact of Climate Variability on Foodborne Diarrheal Disease: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Public health reviews · 2025Pooled it
- A systematic review and meta-analysis of ambient temperature and precipitation with infections from five food-borne bacterial pathogens.Epidemiology and infection · 2024Pooled it
- Inverted U-shaped association between bacillary dysentery and temperature: A new finding using a novel two-stage strategy in multi-region studies.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2023Pooled it
- Meteorological Factors Affecting Infectious Diarrhea in Different Climate Zones of China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Pooled it
- The effect and attributable risk of daily temperature on category C infectious diarrhea in Guangdong Province, China.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2022Pooled it
- Effects of ambient temperature on influenza-like illness: A multicity analysis in Shandong Province, China, 2014-2017.Frontiers in public health · 2022Pooled it
- Temperature and risk of infectious diarrhea: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2021Pooled it
- Exploring the multidimensional factors associated with the incidence of bacillary dysentery in China based on a panel data model.Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- Association between hydrometeorological conditions and hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Shandong Province, China, from 2005 to 2019.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2025Article
- Interpretable machine learning analysis of environmental characteristics on bacillary dysentery in Sichuan Province.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Quantifying national burdens of foodborne disease-Four imperatives for global impact.PLOS global public health · 2025Review
- El Niño southern oscillation, weather patterns, and bacillary dysentery in the Yangtze River Basin, China.Global health research and policy · 2024Article
- Using a Leroux-prior-based conditional autoregression-based strategy to map the short-term association between temperature and bacillary dysentery and its attributable burden in China.Frontiers in public health · 2024Article
- Health Co-Benefits of Environmental Changes in the Context of Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality in China.Health data science · 2024Review
- Short-term effects of tropical cyclones on the incidence of dengue: a time-series study in Guangzhou, China.Parasites & vectors · 2022Article
- Attributable risks of hospitalizations for urologic diseases due to heat exposure in Queensland, Australia, 1995-2016.International journal of epidemiology · 2022Article
- Projecting Temperature-Attributable Mortality and Hospital Admissions due to Enteric Infections in the Philippines.Environmental health perspectives · 2022Article
- Effects of daily mean temperature and other meteorological variables on bacillary dysentery in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, China.Environmental health and preventive medicine · 2022Article
- Safety and Immunogenicity of aVaccines · 2021Article
- Association between Ambient Temperature and Severe Diarrhoea in the National Capital Region, Philippines.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundBacillary dysentery (BD) remains a significant public health issue, especially in developing countries. Evidence assessing the risk of BD from temperature is limited, particularly from national studies including multiple locations with different climatic characteristics.
objectivesWe estimated the effect of temperature on BD across China, assessed heterogeneity and attributable risks across cities and regions, and projected the future risk of BD under climate change.
methodsDaily BD surveillance and meteorological data over 2014-2016 were collected from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention and the China Meteorology Administration, respectively. A two-stage statistical model was used to estimate city-specific temperature-BD relationships that were pooled to derive regional and national estimates. The risk of BD attributable to temperature was estimated, and the future burden of BD attributable to temperature was projected under different climate change scenarios.
resultsA positive linear relationship for the pooled effect was estimated at the national level. Subgroup analyses indicate that the estimated effect of temperature on BD was similar by age (
conclusionsThe positive association between temperature and BD in different climatic regions of China, and the projection for increased risk due to climate change, support efforts to mitigate future risks. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP5779.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.